Changing dynamics of COVID-19 deaths during the SARS-CoV2 B.1.617.2 (Delta variant) outbreak in England and Wales: Reduced COVID-19 deaths among the Care Home residents

ABSTRACT Objectives Care Homes faced crisis during the SARS-CoV2 pandemic with increased mortality and various corrective interventions were undertaken. The impact of current SARS-CoV2 B.1.617.2 (Delta variant) outbreak on COVID-19 deaths in Care Homes is not completely known.Design Observational studySetting and Participants We included nationwide data of deaths from all causes and COVID-19 in England and Wales during March 7, 2020-November 26, 2021.Methods Impact of COVID-19 deaths in Care Homes, Hospital and Homes relative to total deaths from all causes was investigated.Results During March 7-August 28,2020; 15,414 (29.8%) of the 51,740 COVID-19 deaths occurred in Care Homes. During August 29, 2020-May 28, 2021, there were significant decrease in COVID-19 deaths in Care Homes ([19.2%]; RR 0.64; 95%CI 0.63-0.65;p<0.0001], which significantly declined further ([8.9%]; RR 0.46; 95%CI 0.43-0.48;p<0.0001) during May 29-November 26, 2021. During the March 7-August 28, 2020; 20.0% (15,514/76,906) of all Care Home deaths were caused by COVID-19, which significantly declined to 18.5% (RR 0.92; 95%CI 0.90-0.93; p<0.0001) during August 29, 2020-May 28, 2021 and declined further to 2.5% (RR 0.13; 95% CI 0.12-0.14;p<0.0001) during May 29-November 26, 2021. Increased percentages of COVID-19 deaths occurred in Hospitals ([72.3%]; RR 1.14; 95% CI 1.1-1.15;p<0.0001) and Homes ([6.3%]; RR 1.33; 95% CI 1.27-1.40; p<0.0001) during August 29, 2020-May 28, 2021 and further increases in the Hospitals ([80.8%]; RR 1.11; 95% CI 1.10-1.12; p<0.0001) and Homes ([8.8%]; RR 1.39; 95% CI 1.31-1.47; p<0.0001) during May 29-November 26, 2021.Conclusions and Implications There was a significantly lower number of COVID-19 deaths occurred in Care Homes and a significantly lower number of Care Homes deaths caused by COVID-19 during the Delta variant surge in England and Wales than the prior surges. Care Home residents are at highest risk for mortality, continuous monitoring and research on COVID-19 preventive interventions are essential..

Medienart:

Preprint

Erscheinungsjahr:

2022

Erschienen:

2022

Enthalten in:

bioRxiv.org - (2022) vom: 25. Mai Zur Gesamtaufnahme - year:2022

Sprache:

Englisch

Beteiligte Personen:

Emani, Venkata R. [VerfasserIn]
Reddy, Raghunath [VerfasserIn]
Emani, Shaila R. [VerfasserIn]
Goswami, Kartik K. [VerfasserIn]
Maddula, Kailash R. [VerfasserIn]
Reddy, Nikhila K. [VerfasserIn]
Nakka, Abirath S. [VerfasserIn]
Reddy, Nidhi K. [VerfasserIn]
Nandanoor, Dheeraj [VerfasserIn]
Goswami, Sanjeev [VerfasserIn]

Links:

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doi:

10.1101/2022.02.09.22270705

funding:

Förderinstitution / Projekttitel:

PPN (Katalog-ID):

XBI035226358