Simple control for complex pandemics: the impact of testing and contact tracing on heterogeneous networks
Amidst the current COVID-19 pandemic, quantifying the effects of strategies that mitigate the spread of infectious diseases is critical. This article presents a compartmental model that addresses the role of random viral testing, follow-up contact tracing, and subsequent isolation of infectious individuals to stabilize the spread of a disease. We propose a branching model and an individual (or agent) based model, both of which capture the stochastic, heterogeneous nature of interactions within a community. The branching model is used to derive new analytical results for the trade-offs between the different mitigation strategies, with the surprising result that a community's resilience to disease outbreaks is independent of its underlying network structure..
Medienart: |
Preprint |
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Erscheinungsjahr: |
2020 |
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Erschienen: |
2020 |
Enthalten in: |
arXiv.org - (2020) vom: 16. Dez. Zur Gesamtaufnahme - year:2020 |
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Sprache: |
Englisch |
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Beteiligte Personen: |
Fay, Sarah C. [VerfasserIn] |
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Links: |
Volltext [kostenfrei] |
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Förderinstitution / Projekttitel: |
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PPN (Katalog-ID): |
XAR019566816 |
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520 | |a Amidst the current COVID-19 pandemic, quantifying the effects of strategies that mitigate the spread of infectious diseases is critical. This article presents a compartmental model that addresses the role of random viral testing, follow-up contact tracing, and subsequent isolation of infectious individuals to stabilize the spread of a disease. We propose a branching model and an individual (or agent) based model, both of which capture the stochastic, heterogeneous nature of interactions within a community. The branching model is used to derive new analytical results for the trade-offs between the different mitigation strategies, with the surprising result that a community's resilience to disease outbreaks is independent of its underlying network structure. | ||
700 | 1 | |a Jones, Dalton J. |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
700 | 1 | |a Dahleh, Munther A. |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
700 | 1 | |a Hosoi, A. E. |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
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