Simple control for complex pandemics: the impact of testing and contact tracing on heterogeneous networks

Amidst the current COVID-19 pandemic, quantifying the effects of strategies that mitigate the spread of infectious diseases is critical. This article presents a compartmental model that addresses the role of random viral testing, follow-up contact tracing, and subsequent isolation of infectious individuals to stabilize the spread of a disease. We propose a branching model and an individual (or agent) based model, both of which capture the stochastic, heterogeneous nature of interactions within a community. The branching model is used to derive new analytical results for the trade-offs between the different mitigation strategies, with the surprising result that a community's resilience to disease outbreaks is independent of its underlying network structure..

Medienart:

Preprint

Erscheinungsjahr:

2020

Erschienen:

2020

Enthalten in:

arXiv.org - (2020) vom: 16. Dez. Zur Gesamtaufnahme - year:2020

Sprache:

Englisch

Beteiligte Personen:

Fay, Sarah C. [VerfasserIn]
Jones, Dalton J. [VerfasserIn]
Dahleh, Munther A. [VerfasserIn]
Hosoi, A. E. [VerfasserIn]

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PPN (Katalog-ID):

XAR019566816