Local government spending and mental health : Untangling the impacts using a dynamic modelling approach

Copyright © 2024 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd.. All rights reserved..

This study investigated the impact of local government spending on mental health in England between 2013 and 2019. Guided by the "Health in All Policies" vision, which encourages the integration of health in all decision-making areas, we explored how healthcare and multiple nonmedical budgeting decisions related to population mental health. We used random curve general cross-lagged modelling to dynamically partition effects into the short-run (from t to t + 1) and long-run (from t to t + 2) impacts, account for unobserved area-level heterogeneity and reverse causality from health outcomes to financial investments, and comprehensive modelling of budget items as an interconnected system. Our findings revealed that spending in adult social care, healthcare, and law & order predicted long-term mental health gains (0.004-0.081 SDs increase for each additional 10% in expenditure). However, these sectors exhibited negative short-term impulses (0.012-0.077 SDs decrease for each additional 10% in expenditure), markedly offsetting the long-term gains. In turn, infrastructural and environmental spending related to short-run mental health gains (0.005-0.031 SDs increase for each additional 10% in expenditure), while the long-run effects were predominantly negative (0.005-0.028 SDs decrease for each additional 10% in expenditure). The frequent occurrence of short-run and long-run negative links suggested that government resources may not be effectively reaching the areas that are most in need. In the short-term, negative effects could also imply temporary disruptions to service delivery largely uncompensated by later mental health improvements. Nonetheless, some non-health spending policies, such as law & order and infrastructure, can be related to long-lasting positive mental health impacts.

Medienart:

E-Artikel

Erscheinungsjahr:

2024

Erschienen:

2024

Enthalten in:

Zur Gesamtaufnahme - volume:348

Enthalten in:

Social science & medicine (1982) - 348(2024) vom: 01. Apr., Seite 116844

Sprache:

Englisch

Beteiligte Personen:

Melianova, Ekaterina [VerfasserIn]
Morris, Tim T [VerfasserIn]
Leckie, George [VerfasserIn]
Manley, David [VerfasserIn]

Links:

Volltext

Themen:

Cross-lagged modelling
Dynamic effects
Government spending
Health in all policies
Journal Article
Population mental health
Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
Social determinants of health
United Kingdom

Anmerkungen:

Date Completed 27.04.2024

Date Revised 27.04.2024

published: Print-Electronic

Citation Status MEDLINE

doi:

10.1016/j.socscimed.2024.116844

funding:

Förderinstitution / Projekttitel:

PPN (Katalog-ID):

NLM371049393