Legacies of millennial-scale climate oscillations in contemporary biodiversity in eastern North America

The Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) has caused significant climate changes over the past 90 000 years. Prior work has hypothesized that these millennial-scale climate variations effected past and contemporary biodiversity, but the effects are understudied. Moreover, few biogeographic models have accounted for uncertainties in palaeoclimatic simulations of millennial-scale variability. We examine whether refuges from millennial-scale climate oscillations have left detectable legacies in the patterns of contemporary species richness in eastern North America. We analyse 13 palaeoclimate estimates from climate simulations and proxy-based reconstructions as predictors for the contemporary richness of amphibians, passerine birds, mammals, reptiles and trees. Results suggest that past climate changes owing to AMOC variations have left weak but detectable imprints on the contemporary richness of mammals and trees. High temperature stability, precipitation increase, and an apparent climate fulcrum in the southeastern United States across millennial-scale climate oscillations aligns with high biodiversity in the region. These findings support the hypothesis that the southeastern United States may have acted as a biodiversity refuge. However, for some taxa, the strength and direction of palaeoclimate-richness relationships varies among different palaeoclimate estimates, pointing to the importance of palaeoclimatic ensembles and the need for caution when basing biogeographic interpretations on individual palaeoclimate simulations. This article is part of the theme issue 'Ecological novelty and planetary stewardship: biodiversity dynamics in a transforming biosphere'.

Medienart:

E-Artikel

Erscheinungsjahr:

2024

Erschienen:

2024

Enthalten in:

Zur Gesamtaufnahme - volume:379

Enthalten in:

Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences - 379(2024), 1902 vom: 27. Apr., Seite 20230012

Sprache:

Englisch

Beteiligte Personen:

Fastovich, David [VerfasserIn]
Radeloff, Volker C [VerfasserIn]
Zuckerberg, Benjamin [VerfasserIn]
Williams, John W [VerfasserIn]

Links:

Volltext

Themen:

Biodiversity
Climate model
Climate refugia
Climate stability
Journal Article
Last deglaciation
Millennial-scale climate variation

Anmerkungen:

Date Completed 09.04.2024

Date Revised 10.04.2024

published: Print-Electronic

Citation Status MEDLINE

doi:

10.1098/rstb.2023.0012

funding:

Förderinstitution / Projekttitel:

PPN (Katalog-ID):

NLM37072884X