The modified Rajan's heart failure risk score predicts all-cause mortality in patients hospitalized for heart failure with reduced ejection fraction : a retrospective cohort study

Copyright © 2024 The Author(s). Published by Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc..

Background: The dimensionless Rajan's heart failure (R-hf) risk score was proposed to predict all-cause mortality in patients hospitalized with chronic heart failure (HF) and reduced ejection fraction (EF) (HFrEF).

Purpose: To examine the association between the modified R-hf risk score and all-cause mortality in patients with HFrEF.

Methods: Retrospective cohort study included adults hospitalized with HFrEF, as defined by clinical symptoms of HF with biplane EF less than 40% on transthoracic echocardiography, at a tertiary centre in Dalian, China, between 1 November 2015, and 31 October 2019. All patients were followed up until 31 October 2020. A modified R-hf risk score was calculated by substituting brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) for N-terminal prohormone of BNP (NT-proBNP) using EF× estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR)× haemoglobin (Hb))/BNP. The patients were stratified into tertiles according to the R-hf risk score. The measured outcome was all-cause mortality. The score performance was assessed using C-statistics.

Results: A total of 840 patients were analyzed (70.2% males; mean age, 64±14 years; median (interquartile range) follow-up 37.0 (27.8) months). A lower modified R-hf risk score predicted a higher risk of all-cause mortality, independent of sex and age [1st tertile vs. 3rd tertile: adjusted hazard ratio (aHR), 3.46; 95% CI: 2.11-5.67; P<0.001]. Multivariate Cox regression analysis indicated that a lower modified R-hf risk score was associated with increased cumulative all-cause mortality [univariate: (1st tertile vs. 3rd tertile: aHR, 3.45; 95% CI: 2.11-5.65; P<0.001) and multivariate: (1st tertile vs. 3rd tertile: aHR 2.21, 95% CI: 1.29-3.79; P=0.004)]. The performance of the model, as reported by C-statistic was 0.67 (95% CI: 0.62-0.72).

Conclusion: The modified R-hf risk score predicted all-cause mortality in patients hospitalized with HFrEF. Further validation of the modified R-hf risk score in other cohorts of patients with HFrEF is needed before clinical application.

Medienart:

E-Artikel

Erscheinungsjahr:

2024

Erschienen:

2024

Enthalten in:

Zur Gesamtaufnahme - volume:86

Enthalten in:

Annals of medicine and surgery (2012) - 86(2024), 4 vom: 27. Apr., Seite 1843-1849

Sprache:

Englisch

Beteiligte Personen:

Rajan, Rajesh [VerfasserIn]
Hui, Jeremy Man Ho [VerfasserIn]
Al Jarallah, Mohammad A [VerfasserIn]
Tse, Gary [VerfasserIn]
Chan, Jeffrey Shi Kai [VerfasserIn]
Satti, Danish Iltaf [VerfasserIn]
Hui, Chloe Tsz Ching [VerfasserIn]
Sun, Yuxi [VerfasserIn]
Lee, Yan Hiu Athena [VerfasserIn]
Liu, Ying [VerfasserIn]
Vijayaraghavan, Govindan [VerfasserIn]
Al-Zakwani, Ibrahim [VerfasserIn]
AlObaid, Laura [VerfasserIn]

Links:

Volltext

Themen:

Asia
Chronic heart failure
Heart failure reduced ejection fraction
Journal Article
Mortality
R-hf risk score

Anmerkungen:

Date Revised 06.04.2024

published: Electronic-eCollection

Citation Status PubMed-not-MEDLINE

doi:

10.1097/MS9.0000000000001646

funding:

Förderinstitution / Projekttitel:

PPN (Katalog-ID):

NLM370664027