Recommended 10-Year Follow-Up Strategy for Small Hepatocellular Carcinoma After Radiofrequency Ablation : A Cost-Effectiveness Evaluation

Copyright © 2024 by The American College of Gastroenterology..

INTRODUCTION: An optimal follow-up schedule for small (≤3-cm) hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after radiofrequency ablation (RFA) remains unclear in clinical guidelines. We aimed to assess the cost-effectiveness of follow-up strategies in patients with small HCC after RFA.

METHODS: In total, 11,243 patients were collected from global institutions to calculate recurrence rates. Subsequently, a Markov model covering a 10-year period was developed to compare 25 surveillance strategies involving different surveillance techniques (computed tomography [CT], magnetic resonance imaging or ultrasonography [US], and α-fetoprotein [AFP]) and intervals (3 or 6 months). The study endpoint was incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER), which represented additional cost per incremental quality-adjusted life year. Sensitivity analysis was conducted by varying the values of input parameters to observe the ICER.

RESULTS: In a base case analysis, the dominant strategy was CT every 3 months during an initial 2 years, followed by semiannual CT, and then switch to biannual the combination of US screening and AFP testing after 5 years (m3_CT-m6_CT-m6_USAFP), with an ICER of $68,570.92 compared with the "not followed" strategy. One-way sensitivity analysis showed the ICER consistently remained below the willingness-to-pay threshold of $100,000.00. In a probabilistic sensitivity analysis, m3_CT-m6_CT-m6_USAFP was the most cost-effective approach in 95.6% of simulated scenarios at a willingness-to-pay threshold.

DISCUSSION: For small HCC after RFA, the recommended follow-up strategy is CT, with scans scheduled every 3 months for the first 2 years, every 6 months thereafter, and transition to biannual the combination of US screening and AFP testing after 5 years.

Medienart:

E-Artikel

Erscheinungsjahr:

2024

Erschienen:

2024

Enthalten in:

Zur Gesamtaufnahme - year:2024

Enthalten in:

The American journal of gastroenterology - (2024) vom: 18. Apr.

Sprache:

Englisch

Beteiligte Personen:

Chen, Qi-Feng [VerfasserIn]
Chen, Song [VerfasserIn]
Yi, Jun-Zhe [VerfasserIn]
Wang, Jiong-Liang [VerfasserIn]
Zhong, Sui-Xing [VerfasserIn]
Jiang, Xiong-Ying [VerfasserIn]
Hu, Yue [VerfasserIn]
Tan, Gen-Jun [VerfasserIn]
Xu, Jie [VerfasserIn]
Lyu, Ning [VerfasserIn]
Zhao, Ming [VerfasserIn]

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Date Revised 17.04.2024

published: Print-Electronic

Citation Status Publisher

doi:

10.14309/ajg.0000000000002774

funding:

Förderinstitution / Projekttitel:

PPN (Katalog-ID):

NLM370157826