Recommended 10-Year Follow-Up Strategy for Small Hepatocellular Carcinoma After Radiofrequency Ablation : A Cost-Effectiveness Evaluation
Copyright © 2024 by The American College of Gastroenterology..
INTRODUCTION: An optimal follow-up schedule for small (≤3-cm) hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after radiofrequency ablation (RFA) remains unclear in clinical guidelines. We aimed to assess the cost-effectiveness of follow-up strategies in patients with small HCC after RFA.
METHODS: In total, 11,243 patients were collected from global institutions to calculate recurrence rates. Subsequently, a Markov model covering a 10-year period was developed to compare 25 surveillance strategies involving different surveillance techniques (computed tomography [CT], magnetic resonance imaging or ultrasonography [US], and α-fetoprotein [AFP]) and intervals (3 or 6 months). The study endpoint was incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER), which represented additional cost per incremental quality-adjusted life year. Sensitivity analysis was conducted by varying the values of input parameters to observe the ICER.
RESULTS: In a base case analysis, the dominant strategy was CT every 3 months during an initial 2 years, followed by semiannual CT, and then switch to biannual the combination of US screening and AFP testing after 5 years (m3_CT-m6_CT-m6_USAFP), with an ICER of $68,570.92 compared with the "not followed" strategy. One-way sensitivity analysis showed the ICER consistently remained below the willingness-to-pay threshold of $100,000.00. In a probabilistic sensitivity analysis, m3_CT-m6_CT-m6_USAFP was the most cost-effective approach in 95.6% of simulated scenarios at a willingness-to-pay threshold.
DISCUSSION: For small HCC after RFA, the recommended follow-up strategy is CT, with scans scheduled every 3 months for the first 2 years, every 6 months thereafter, and transition to biannual the combination of US screening and AFP testing after 5 years.
Medienart: |
E-Artikel |
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Erscheinungsjahr: |
2024 |
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Erschienen: |
2024 |
Enthalten in: |
Zur Gesamtaufnahme - year:2024 |
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Enthalten in: |
The American journal of gastroenterology - (2024) vom: 18. Apr. |
Sprache: |
Englisch |
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Beteiligte Personen: |
Chen, Qi-Feng [VerfasserIn] |
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Anmerkungen: |
Date Revised 17.04.2024 published: Print-Electronic Citation Status Publisher |
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doi: |
10.14309/ajg.0000000000002774 |
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funding: |
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PPN (Katalog-ID): |
NLM370157826 |
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520 | |a INTRODUCTION: An optimal follow-up schedule for small (≤3-cm) hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after radiofrequency ablation (RFA) remains unclear in clinical guidelines. We aimed to assess the cost-effectiveness of follow-up strategies in patients with small HCC after RFA | ||
520 | |a METHODS: In total, 11,243 patients were collected from global institutions to calculate recurrence rates. Subsequently, a Markov model covering a 10-year period was developed to compare 25 surveillance strategies involving different surveillance techniques (computed tomography [CT], magnetic resonance imaging or ultrasonography [US], and α-fetoprotein [AFP]) and intervals (3 or 6 months). The study endpoint was incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER), which represented additional cost per incremental quality-adjusted life year. Sensitivity analysis was conducted by varying the values of input parameters to observe the ICER | ||
520 | |a RESULTS: In a base case analysis, the dominant strategy was CT every 3 months during an initial 2 years, followed by semiannual CT, and then switch to biannual the combination of US screening and AFP testing after 5 years (m3_CT-m6_CT-m6_USAFP), with an ICER of $68,570.92 compared with the "not followed" strategy. One-way sensitivity analysis showed the ICER consistently remained below the willingness-to-pay threshold of $100,000.00. In a probabilistic sensitivity analysis, m3_CT-m6_CT-m6_USAFP was the most cost-effective approach in 95.6% of simulated scenarios at a willingness-to-pay threshold | ||
520 | |a DISCUSSION: For small HCC after RFA, the recommended follow-up strategy is CT, with scans scheduled every 3 months for the first 2 years, every 6 months thereafter, and transition to biannual the combination of US screening and AFP testing after 5 years | ||
650 | 4 | |a Journal Article | |
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700 | 1 | |a Yi, Jun-Zhe |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
700 | 1 | |a Wang, Jiong-Liang |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
700 | 1 | |a Zhong, Sui-Xing |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
700 | 1 | |a Jiang, Xiong-Ying |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
700 | 1 | |a Hu, Yue |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
700 | 1 | |a Tan, Gen-Jun |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
700 | 1 | |a Xu, Jie |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
700 | 1 | |a Lyu, Ning |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
700 | 1 | |a Zhao, Ming |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
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