Confinement tonicity on epidemic spreading

© 2024. The Author(s)..

Emerging and re-emerging pathogens are latent threats in our society with the risk of killing millions of people worldwide, without forgetting the severe economic and educational backlogs. From COVID-19, we learned that self isolation and quarantine restrictions (confinement) were the main way of protection till availability of vaccines. However, abrupt lifting of social confinement would result in new waves of new infection cases and high death tolls. Here, inspired by how an extracellular solution can make water move into or out of a cell through osmosis, we define confinement tonicity. This can serve as a standalone measurement for the net direction and magnitude of flows between the confined and deconfined susceptible compartments. Numerical results offer insights on the effects of easing quarantine restrictions.

Medienart:

E-Artikel

Erscheinungsjahr:

2024

Erschienen:

2024

Enthalten in:

Zur Gesamtaufnahme - volume:88

Enthalten in:

Journal of mathematical biology - 88(2024), 4 vom: 22. März, Seite 46

Sprache:

Englisch

Beteiligte Personen:

Almocera, Alexis Erich S [VerfasserIn]
González, Alejandro H [VerfasserIn]
Hernandez-Vargas, Esteban A [VerfasserIn]

Links:

Volltext

Themen:

Confinement
Epidemic
Epidemic final size
Journal Article
Stability

Anmerkungen:

Date Completed 25.03.2024

Date Revised 30.03.2024

published: Electronic

Citation Status MEDLINE

doi:

10.1007/s00285-024-02064-1

funding:

Förderinstitution / Projekttitel:

PPN (Katalog-ID):

NLM370092988