How does the SARS-CoV-2 reinfection rate change over time? The global evidence from systematic review and meta-analysis

© 2024. The Author(s)..

BACKGROUND: There is a significant increase in the number of SARS-CoV-2 reinfection reports in various countries. However, the trend of reinfection rate over time is not clear.

METHODS: We searched PubMed, Web of Science, Medline, Embase, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, China National Knowledge Infrastructure, and Wanfang for cohort studies, case-control studies, and cross-sectional studies up to March 16, 2023, to conduct a meta-analysis of global SARS-CoV-2 reinfection rate. Subgroup analyses were performed for age, country, study type, and study population, and time-varying reinfection rates of SARS-CoV-2 were estimated using meta-regression. The risk of bias was assessed using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale and the Joanna Briggs Institute critical appraisal tool.

RESULT: A total of 55 studies involving 111,846 cases of SARS-CoV-2 reinfection were included. The pooled SARS-CoV-2 reinfection rate was 0.94% (95% CI: 0.65 -1.35%). In the subgroup analyses, there were statistically significant differences in the pooled reinfection rates by reinfection variant, and study type (P < 0.05). Based on meta-regression, the reinfection rate fluctuated with time.

CONCLUSION: Meta-regression analysis found that the overall reinfection rate increased and then decreased over time, followed by a period of plateauing and then a trend of increasing and then decreasing, but the peak of the second wave of reinfection rate was lower than the first wave. SARS-CoV-2 is at risk of reinfection and the Omicron variant has a higher reinfection rate than other currently known variants. The results of this study could help guide public health measures and vaccination strategies in response to the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic.

Medienart:

E-Artikel

Erscheinungsjahr:

2024

Erschienen:

2024

Enthalten in:

Zur Gesamtaufnahme - volume:24

Enthalten in:

BMC infectious diseases - 24(2024), 1 vom: 21. März, Seite 339

Sprache:

Englisch

Beteiligte Personen:

Chen, Ying [VerfasserIn]
Zhu, Wenhui [VerfasserIn]
Han, Xinyue [VerfasserIn]
Chen, Miaoshuang [VerfasserIn]
Li, Xin [VerfasserIn]
Huang, Haiping [VerfasserIn]
Zhang, Mengyuan [VerfasserIn]
Wei, Rongjie [VerfasserIn]
Zhang, Huadong [VerfasserIn]
Yang, Changhong [VerfasserIn]
Zhang, Tao [VerfasserIn]

Links:

Volltext

Themen:

COVID-19
Journal Article
Meta-Analysis
Meta-analysis
Meta-regression
SARS-CoV-2
Systematic Review
Time-varying reinfection rate

Anmerkungen:

Date Completed 25.03.2024

Date Revised 25.03.2024

published: Electronic

Citation Status MEDLINE

doi:

10.1186/s12879-024-09225-z

funding:

Förderinstitution / Projekttitel:

PPN (Katalog-ID):

NLM370045998