Radiomics-based nomogram guides adaptive de-intensification in locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma following induction chemotherapy

© 2024. The Author(s), under exclusive licence to European Society of Radiology..

OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to construct a radiomics-based model for prognosis and benefit prediction of concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) versus intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT) in locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (LANPC) following induction chemotherapy (IC).

MATERIALS AND METHODS: A cohort of 718 LANPC patients treated with IC + IMRT or IC + CCRT were retrospectively enrolled and assigned to a training set (n = 503) and a validation set (n = 215). Radiomic features were extracted from pre-IC and post-IC MRI. After feature selection, a delta-radiomics signature was built with LASSO-Cox regression. A nomogram incorporating independent clinical indicators and the delta-radiomics signature was then developed and evaluated for calibration and discrimination. Risk stratification by the nomogram was evaluated with Kaplan-Meier methods.

RESULTS: The delta-radiomics signature, which comprised 19 selected features, was independently associated with prognosis. The nomogram, composed of the delta-radiomics signature, age, T category, N category, treatment, and pre-treatment EBV DNA, showed great calibration and discrimination with an area under the receiver operator characteristic curve of 0.80 (95% CI 0.75-0.85) and 0.75 (95% CI 0.64-0.85) in the training and validation sets. Risk stratification by the nomogram, excluding the treatment factor, resulted in two groups with distinct overall survival. Significantly better outcomes were observed in the high-risk patients with IC + CCRT compared to those with IC + IMRT, while comparable outcomes between IC + IMRT and IC + CCRT were shown for low-risk patients.

CONCLUSION: The radiomics-based nomogram can predict prognosis and survival benefits from concurrent chemotherapy for LANPC following IC. Low-risk patients determined by the nomogram may be potential candidates for omitting concurrent chemotherapy during IMRT.

CLINICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT: The radiomics-based nomogram was constructed for risk stratification and patient selection. It can help guide clinical decision-making for patients with locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma following induction chemotherapy, and avoid unnecessary toxicity caused by overtreatment.

KEY POINTS: • The benefits from concurrent chemotherapy remained controversial for locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma following induction chemotherapy. • Radiomics-based nomogram achieved prognosis and benefits prediction of concurrent chemotherapy. • Low-risk patients defined by the nomogram were candidates for de-intensification.

Medienart:

E-Artikel

Erscheinungsjahr:

2024

Erschienen:

2024

Enthalten in:

Zur Gesamtaufnahme - year:2024

Enthalten in:

European radiology - (2024) vom: 22. März

Sprache:

Englisch

Beteiligte Personen:

Wang, Shun-Xin [VerfasserIn]
Yang, Yi [VerfasserIn]
Xie, Hui [VerfasserIn]
Yang, Xin [VerfasserIn]
Liu, Zhi-Qiao [VerfasserIn]
Li, Hao-Jiang [VerfasserIn]
Huang, Wen-Jie [VerfasserIn]
Luo, Wei-Jie [VerfasserIn]
Lei, Yi-Ming [VerfasserIn]
Sun, Ying [VerfasserIn]
Ma, Jun [VerfasserIn]
Chen, Yan-Feng [VerfasserIn]
Liu, Li-Zhi [VerfasserIn]
Mao, Yan-Ping [VerfasserIn]

Links:

Volltext

Themen:

Journal Article
Magnetic resonance imaging
Nasopharyngeal carcinoma
Nomograms
Radiomics

Anmerkungen:

Date Revised 22.03.2024

published: Print-Electronic

Citation Status Publisher

doi:

10.1007/s00330-024-10678-8

funding:

Förderinstitution / Projekttitel:

PPN (Katalog-ID):

NLM370040546