Evaluation of a novel model incorporating serological indicators into the conventional TNM staging system for nasopharyngeal carcinoma
Copyright © 2024 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved..
BACKGROUND: Non-anatomical factors significantly affect treatment guidance and prognostic prediction in nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) patients. Here, we developed a novel survival model by combining conventional TNM staging and serological indicators.
METHODS: We retrospectively enrolled 10,914 eligible patients with nonmetastatic NPC over 2009-2017 and randomly divided them into training (n = 7672) and validation (n = 3242) cohorts. The new staging system was constructed based on T category, N category, and pretreatment serological markers by using recursive partitioning analysis (RPA).
RESULTS: In multivariate Cox analysis, pretreatment cell-free Epstein-Barr virus (cfEBV) DNA levels of >2000 copies/mL [HROS (95 % CI) = 1.78 (1.57-2.02)], elevated lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) levels [HROS (95 % CI) = 1.64 (1.41-1.92)], and C-reactive protein-to-albumin ratio (CAR) of >0.04 [HROS (95 % CI) = 1.20 (1.07-1.34)] were associated with negative prognosis (all P < 0.05). Through RPA, we stratified patients into four risk groups: RPA I (n = 3209), RPA II (n = 2063), RPA III (n = 1263), and RPA IV (n = 1137), with 5-year overall survival (OS) rates of 93.2 %, 86.0 %, 80.6 %, and 71.9 % (all P < 0.001), respectively. Compared with the TNM staging system (eighth edition), RPA risk grouping demonstrated higher prognostic prediction efficacy in the training [area under the curve (AUC) = 0.661 vs. 0.631, P < 0.001] and validation (AUC = 0.687 vs. 0.654, P = 0.001) cohorts. Furthermore, our model could distinguish sensitive patients suitable for induction chemotherapy well.
CONCLUSION: Our novel RPA staging model outperformed the current TNM staging system in prognostic prediction and clinical decision-making. We recommend incorporating cfEBV DNA, LDH, and CAR into the TNM staging system.
Medienart: |
E-Artikel |
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Erscheinungsjahr: |
2024 |
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Erschienen: |
2024 |
Enthalten in: |
Zur Gesamtaufnahme - volume:151 |
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Enthalten in: |
Oral oncology - 151(2024) vom: 15. Apr., Seite 106725 |
Sprache: |
Englisch |
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Beteiligte Personen: |
Ding, Cong [VerfasserIn] |
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Links: |
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Themen: |
8th TNM staging |
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Anmerkungen: |
Date Completed 08.04.2024 Date Revised 08.04.2024 published: Print-Electronic Citation Status MEDLINE |
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doi: |
10.1016/j.oraloncology.2024.106725 |
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funding: |
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Förderinstitution / Projekttitel: |
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PPN (Katalog-ID): |
NLM36920591X |
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520 | |a Copyright © 2024 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. | ||
520 | |a BACKGROUND: Non-anatomical factors significantly affect treatment guidance and prognostic prediction in nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) patients. Here, we developed a novel survival model by combining conventional TNM staging and serological indicators | ||
520 | |a METHODS: We retrospectively enrolled 10,914 eligible patients with nonmetastatic NPC over 2009-2017 and randomly divided them into training (n = 7672) and validation (n = 3242) cohorts. The new staging system was constructed based on T category, N category, and pretreatment serological markers by using recursive partitioning analysis (RPA) | ||
520 | |a RESULTS: In multivariate Cox analysis, pretreatment cell-free Epstein-Barr virus (cfEBV) DNA levels of >2000 copies/mL [HROS (95 % CI) = 1.78 (1.57-2.02)], elevated lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) levels [HROS (95 % CI) = 1.64 (1.41-1.92)], and C-reactive protein-to-albumin ratio (CAR) of >0.04 [HROS (95 % CI) = 1.20 (1.07-1.34)] were associated with negative prognosis (all P < 0.05). Through RPA, we stratified patients into four risk groups: RPA I (n = 3209), RPA II (n = 2063), RPA III (n = 1263), and RPA IV (n = 1137), with 5-year overall survival (OS) rates of 93.2 %, 86.0 %, 80.6 %, and 71.9 % (all P < 0.001), respectively. Compared with the TNM staging system (eighth edition), RPA risk grouping demonstrated higher prognostic prediction efficacy in the training [area under the curve (AUC) = 0.661 vs. 0.631, P < 0.001] and validation (AUC = 0.687 vs. 0.654, P = 0.001) cohorts. Furthermore, our model could distinguish sensitive patients suitable for induction chemotherapy well | ||
520 | |a CONCLUSION: Our novel RPA staging model outperformed the current TNM staging system in prognostic prediction and clinical decision-making. We recommend incorporating cfEBV DNA, LDH, and CAR into the TNM staging system | ||
650 | 4 | |a Journal Article | |
650 | 4 | |a 8th TNM staging | |
650 | 4 | |a Nasopharyngeal carcinoma | |
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700 | 1 | |a Wang, Gao-Yuan |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
700 | 1 | |a Dong, Zhe |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
700 | 1 | |a Qin, Guan-Jie |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
700 | 1 | |a Du, Xiao-Jing |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
700 | 1 | |a Ma, Jun |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
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