Evaluation of a novel model incorporating serological indicators into the conventional TNM staging system for nasopharyngeal carcinoma

Copyright © 2024 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved..

BACKGROUND: Non-anatomical factors significantly affect treatment guidance and prognostic prediction in nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) patients. Here, we developed a novel survival model by combining conventional TNM staging and serological indicators.

METHODS: We retrospectively enrolled 10,914 eligible patients with nonmetastatic NPC over 2009-2017 and randomly divided them into training (n = 7672) and validation (n = 3242) cohorts. The new staging system was constructed based on T category, N category, and pretreatment serological markers by using recursive partitioning analysis (RPA).

RESULTS: In multivariate Cox analysis, pretreatment cell-free Epstein-Barr virus (cfEBV) DNA levels of >2000 copies/mL [HROS (95 % CI) = 1.78 (1.57-2.02)], elevated lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) levels [HROS (95 % CI) = 1.64 (1.41-1.92)], and C-reactive protein-to-albumin ratio (CAR) of >0.04 [HROS (95 % CI) = 1.20 (1.07-1.34)] were associated with negative prognosis (all P < 0.05). Through RPA, we stratified patients into four risk groups: RPA I (n = 3209), RPA II (n = 2063), RPA III (n = 1263), and RPA IV (n = 1137), with 5-year overall survival (OS) rates of 93.2 %, 86.0 %, 80.6 %, and 71.9 % (all P < 0.001), respectively. Compared with the TNM staging system (eighth edition), RPA risk grouping demonstrated higher prognostic prediction efficacy in the training [area under the curve (AUC) = 0.661 vs. 0.631, P < 0.001] and validation (AUC = 0.687 vs. 0.654, P = 0.001) cohorts. Furthermore, our model could distinguish sensitive patients suitable for induction chemotherapy well.

CONCLUSION: Our novel RPA staging model outperformed the current TNM staging system in prognostic prediction and clinical decision-making. We recommend incorporating cfEBV DNA, LDH, and CAR into the TNM staging system.

Medienart:

E-Artikel

Erscheinungsjahr:

2024

Erschienen:

2024

Enthalten in:

Zur Gesamtaufnahme - volume:151

Enthalten in:

Oral oncology - 151(2024) vom: 15. Apr., Seite 106725

Sprache:

Englisch

Beteiligte Personen:

Ding, Cong [VerfasserIn]
Dai, Dong-Yu [VerfasserIn]
Luo, Zi-Kang [VerfasserIn]
Wang, Gao-Yuan [VerfasserIn]
Dong, Zhe [VerfasserIn]
Qin, Guan-Jie [VerfasserIn]
Du, Xiao-Jing [VerfasserIn]
Ma, Jun [VerfasserIn]

Links:

Volltext

Themen:

8th TNM staging
9007-49-2
DNA
Journal Article
Nasopharyngeal carcinoma
Recursive partitioning analysis
Serological indicator

Anmerkungen:

Date Completed 08.04.2024

Date Revised 08.04.2024

published: Print-Electronic

Citation Status MEDLINE

doi:

10.1016/j.oraloncology.2024.106725

funding:

Förderinstitution / Projekttitel:

PPN (Katalog-ID):

NLM36920591X