A machine learning-based risk score for prediction of infective endocarditis among patients with Staphylococcus aureus bacteraemia - The SABIER score

© The Author(s) 2024. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of Infectious Diseases Society of America. All rights reserved. For permissions, please e-mail: journals.permissionsoup.com..

BACKGROUND: Early risk assessment is needed to stratify Staphylococcus aureus infective endocarditis (SA-IE) risk among Staphylococcus aureus bacteraemia (SAB) patients to guide clinical management. The objective of this study is to develop a novel risk score independent of subjective clinical judgment and can be used early at the time of blood culture positivity.

METHODS: We conducted a retrospective big data analysis from territory-wide electronic data and included hospitalized patients with SAB between 2009 and 2019. We applied a random forest risk scoring model to select variables from an array of parameters, according to the statistical importance of each feature in predicting SA-IE outcome. The data was divided into derivation and validation cohorts. The areas under the curve of the receiver operating characteristic (AUCROC) were determined.

RESULTS: We identified 15,741 SAB patients, among them 4.18% had SA-IE. The AUCROC was 0.74 (95%CI 0.70-0.76), with a negative predictive value of 0.980 (95%CI 0.977-0.983). The four most discriminatory features were age, history of infective endocarditis, valvular heart disease, and being community-onset.

CONCLUSION: We developed a novel risk score with good performance as compared to existing scores and can be used at the time of SAB and prior to subjective clinical judgment.

Medienart:

E-Artikel

Erscheinungsjahr:

2024

Erschienen:

2024

Enthalten in:

Zur Gesamtaufnahme - year:2024

Enthalten in:

The Journal of infectious diseases - (2024) vom: 29. Feb.

Sprache:

Englisch

Beteiligte Personen:

Lai, Christopher Koon-Chi [VerfasserIn]
Leung, Eman [VerfasserIn]
He, Yinan [VerfasserIn]
Cheung, Ching-Chun [VerfasserIn]
Oliver, Mui Oi Yat [VerfasserIn]
Yu, Qinze [VerfasserIn]
Li, Timothy Chun-Man [VerfasserIn]
Lee, Alfred Lok-Hang [VerfasserIn]
Yu, Li [VerfasserIn]
Lui, Grace Chung-Yan [VerfasserIn]

Links:

Volltext

Themen:

Artificial intelligence
Bloodstream infections
Infective endocarditis
Journal Article
Machine learning
Prediction Model
Sepsis
Staphylococcus aureus

Anmerkungen:

Date Revised 29.02.2024

published: Print-Electronic

Citation Status Publisher

doi:

10.1093/infdis/jiae080

funding:

Förderinstitution / Projekttitel:

PPN (Katalog-ID):

NLM369107918