Recurrence-free survival as a surrogate endpoint for overall survival after neoadjuvant chemotherapy and surgery for oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma

© The Author(s) 2024. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of BJS Foundation Ltd..

BACKGROUND: Overall survival is considered as one of the most important endpoints of treatment efficacy but often requires long follow-up. This study aimed to determine the validity of recurrence-free survival as a surrogate endpoint for overall survival in patients with surgically resectable advanced oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC).

METHODS: Patients with OSCC who received neoadjuvant cisplatin and 5-fluorouracil, or docetaxel, cisplatin and 5-fluorouracil, at 58 Japanese oesophageal centres certified by the Japan Esophageal Society were reviewed retrospectively. The correlation between recurrence-free and overall survival was assessed using Kendall's τ.

RESULTS: The study included 3154 patients. The 5-year overall and recurrence-free survival rates were 56.6 and 47.7% respectively. The primary analysis revealed a strong correlation between recurrence-free and overall survival (Kendall's τ 0.797, 95% c.i. 0.782 to 0.812) at the individual level. Subgroup analysis showed a positive relationship between a more favourable pathological response to neoadjuvant chemotherapy and a higher τ value. In the meta-regression model, the adjusted R2 value at the institutional level was 100 (95% c.i. 40.2 to 100)%. The surrogate threshold effect was 0.703.

CONCLUSION: There was a strong correlation between recurrence-free and overall survival in patients with surgically resectable OSCC who underwent neoadjuvant chemotherapy, and this was more pronounced in patients with a better response to neoadjuvant chemotherapy.

Medienart:

E-Artikel

Erscheinungsjahr:

2024

Erschienen:

2024

Enthalten in:

Zur Gesamtaufnahme - volume:111

Enthalten in:

The British journal of surgery - 111(2024), 2 vom: 31. Jan.

Sprache:

Englisch

Beteiligte Personen:

Okui, Jun [VerfasserIn]
Nagashima, Kengo [VerfasserIn]
Matsuda, Satoru [VerfasserIn]
Sato, Yasunori [VerfasserIn]
Okamura, Akihiko [VerfasserIn]
Kawakubo, Hirofumi [VerfasserIn]
Muto, Manabu [VerfasserIn]
Kakeji, Yoshihiro [VerfasserIn]
Kono, Koji [VerfasserIn]
Takeuchi, Hiroya [VerfasserIn]
Watanabe, Masayuki [VerfasserIn]
Doki, Yuichiro [VerfasserIn]
Bamba, Takeo [VerfasserIn]
Fukuda, Takashi [VerfasserIn]
Fujiwara, Hitoshi [VerfasserIn]
Sato, Shinsuke [VerfasserIn]
Noma, Kazuhiro [VerfasserIn]
Miyata, Hiroshi [VerfasserIn]
Fujita, Takeo [VerfasserIn]
Kitagawa, Yuko [VerfasserIn]

Links:

Volltext

Themen:

Biomarkers
Cisplatin
Fluorouracil
Journal Article
Q20Q21Q62J
U3P01618RT

Anmerkungen:

Date Completed 22.02.2024

Date Revised 22.02.2024

published: Print

Citation Status MEDLINE

doi:

10.1093/bjs/znae038

funding:

Förderinstitution / Projekttitel:

PPN (Katalog-ID):

NLM368674037