Global burden of pancreatic cancer attributable to metabolic risks from 1990 to 2019, with projections of mortality to 2030

© 2024. The Author(s)..

OBJECTIVE: Metabolic risks play a key role in the progression of pancreatic cancer. This study aimed to present global, regional and national data on mortality and disability-adjusted life-year (DALY) for pancreatic cancer attributable to metabolic risk and to forecast mortality to 2030 using data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD).

METHODS: Data on mortality and DALYs due to pancreatic cancer attributable to metabolic risks were obtained from GBD 2019. Metabolic risks include high fasting plasma glucose (FPG) and high body mass index (BMI). Total numbers and age-standardized rates per 100,000 people for mortality and DALYs were reported by age, sex, region and country/territory from 1990 to 2019. The "Bayes age-period-cohort" method was used for projections of mortality to 2030.

RESULTS: Globally, there was a 3.5-fold increase in the number of pancreatic cancer deaths attributable to metabolic risk, from 22,091 in 1990 to 77,215 in 2019. High-income North America and Central Europe had the highest age-standardized mortality rates (ASMRs) of pancreatic cancer attributable to high FPG and high BMI in 2019, respectively. From 1990 to 2019, the global ASMR of pancreatic cancer attributable to high FPG and high BMI increased. Countries with high healthcare access quality had much higher age-standardized DALY rates. In the next 10 years, the ASMR of pancreatic cancer attributable to high FPG and high BMI will continue to increase.

CONCLUSION: Pancreatic cancer mortality and DALYs attributable to metabolic factors remain high, particularly in high-income regions or countries. Studies on the metabolic mechanism of pancreatic cancer and effective treatment strategies are needed.

Medienart:

E-Artikel

Erscheinungsjahr:

2024

Erschienen:

2024

Enthalten in:

Zur Gesamtaufnahme - volume:24

Enthalten in:

BMC public health - 24(2024), 1 vom: 13. Feb., Seite 456

Sprache:

Englisch

Beteiligte Personen:

He, Ru [VerfasserIn]
Jiang, Wenkai [VerfasserIn]
Wang, Chenyu [VerfasserIn]
Li, Xiao [VerfasserIn]
Zhou, Wence [VerfasserIn]

Links:

Volltext

Themen:

Body mass index
Disability-adjusted life-year
Fasting plasma glucose
Journal Article
Mortality
Pancreatic cancer

Anmerkungen:

Date Completed 15.02.2024

Date Revised 16.02.2024

published: Electronic

Citation Status MEDLINE

doi:

10.1186/s12889-024-17875-6

funding:

Förderinstitution / Projekttitel:

PPN (Katalog-ID):

NLM368410145