Making sense of breast cancer risk estimates

© 2024 Wiley Periodicals LLC..

Individual probabilistic assessments on the risk of cancer, primary or secondary, will not be understood by most patients. That is the essence of our arguments in this paper. Greater understanding can be achieved by extensive, intensive, and detailed counseling. But since probability itself is a concept that easily escapes our everyday intuition-consider the famous Monte Hall paradox-then it would also be wise to advise patients and potential patients, to not put undue weight on any probabilistic assessment. Such assessments can be of value to the epidemiologist in the investigation of different potential etiologies describing cancer evolution or to the clinical trialist as a way to maximize design efficiency. But to an ordinary individual we cannot anticipate that these assessments will be correctly interpreted.

Medienart:

E-Artikel

Erscheinungsjahr:

2024

Erschienen:

2024

Enthalten in:

Zur Gesamtaufnahme - volume:48

Enthalten in:

Genetic epidemiology - 48(2024), 3 vom: 19. März, Seite 141-147

Sprache:

Englisch

Beteiligte Personen:

O'Quigley, John [VerfasserIn]

Links:

Volltext

Themen:

Breast cancer
Competing risks
Journal Article
Personalized medicine
Risk interpretation

Anmerkungen:

Date Completed 19.03.2024

Date Revised 19.03.2024

published: Print-Electronic

Citation Status MEDLINE

doi:

10.1002/gepi.22550

funding:

Förderinstitution / Projekttitel:

PPN (Katalog-ID):

NLM368237052