Assessment of the cerebroplacental ratio and uterine arteries in low-risk pregnancies in early labour for the prediction of obstetric and neonatal outcomes

Copyright © 2024 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved..

BACKGROUND: The evidence-based management of human labor includes the antepartum identification of patients at risk for intrapartum hypoxia. However, available evidence has shown that most of the hypoxic-related complications occur among pregnancies classified at low-risk for intrapartum hypoxia, thus suggesting that the current strategy to identify the pregnancies at risk for intrapartum fetal hypoxia has limited accuracy.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the role of the combined assessment of the cerebroplacental ratio (CPR) and uterine arteries (UtA) Doppler in the prediction of obstetric intervention (OI) for suspected intrapartum fetal compromise (IFC) within a cohort of low-risk singleton term pregnancies in early labor.

METHODS: Prospective multicentre observational study conducted across four tertiary Maternity Units between January 2016 and September 2019. Low-risk term pregnancies with spontaneous onset of labor were included. A two-step multivariable model was developed to assess the risk of OI for suspected IFC. The baseline model included antenatal and intrapartum characteristics, while the combined model included antenatal and intrapartum characteristics plus Doppler anomalies such as CPR MoM < 10th percentile and mean UtA Doppler PI MoM ≥ 95th percentile. Predictive performance was determined by receiver-operating characteristics curve analysis.

RESULTS: 804 women were included. At logistic regression analysis, CPR MoM < 10th percentile (aOR 1.269, 95 % CI 1.188-1.356, P < 0.001), mean UtA PI MoM ≥ 95th percentile (aOR 1.012, 95 % CI 1.001-1.022, P = 0.04) were independently associated with OI for suspected IFC. At ROC curve analysis, the combined model including antenatal characteristics plus abnormal CPR and mean UtA PI yielded an AUC of 0.78, 95 %CI(0.71-0.85), p < 0.001, which was significantly higher than the baseline model (AUC 0.61, 95 %CI(0.54-0.69), p = 0.007) (p < 0.001). The combined model was associated with a 0.78 (95 % CI 0.67-0.89) sensitivity, 0.68 (95 % CI 0.65-0.72) specificity, 0.15 (95 % CI 0.11-0.19) PPV, and 0.98 (0.96-0.99) NPV, 2.48 (95 % CI 2.07-2.97) LR + and 0.32 (95 % CI 0.19-0.53) LR- for OI due to suspected IFC.

CONCLUSIONS: A predictive model including antenatal and intrapartum characteristics combined with abnormal CPR and mean UtA PI has a good capacity to rule out and a moderate capacity to rule in OI due to IFC, albeit with poor predictive value.

Medienart:

E-Artikel

Erscheinungsjahr:

2024

Erschienen:

2024

Enthalten in:

Zur Gesamtaufnahme - volume:295

Enthalten in:

European journal of obstetrics, gynecology, and reproductive biology - 295(2024) vom: 05. März, Seite 18-24

Sprache:

Englisch

Beteiligte Personen:

Dall'Asta, Andrea [VerfasserIn]
Frusca, Tiziana [VerfasserIn]
Rizzo, Giuseppe [VerfasserIn]
Ramirez Zegarra, Ruben [VerfasserIn]
Lees, Christoph [VerfasserIn]
Figueras, Francesc [VerfasserIn]
Ghi, Tullio [VerfasserIn]

Links:

Volltext

Themen:

Adverse perinatal outcomes
Cerebroplacental ratio
Journal Article
Multicenter Study
Observational Study
Operative delivery
Placental insufficiency
Uterine artery Doppler

Anmerkungen:

Date Completed 13.03.2024

Date Revised 21.03.2024

published: Print-Electronic

Citation Status MEDLINE

doi:

10.1016/j.ejogrb.2024.02.002

funding:

Förderinstitution / Projekttitel:

PPN (Katalog-ID):

NLM368144674