Prognostic factors of poor outcomes in pneumonia in older adults : aspiration or frailty?
© 2024. The Author(s)..
PURPOSE: Little is known about the long-term and functional prognoses of older adults with pneumonia, which complicates their management. There is a common belief that aspiration is a poor prognostic factor; however, the diagnosis of aspiration pneumonia (AP) lacks consensus criteria and is mainly based on clinical characteristics typical of the frailty syndrome. Therefore, the poor prognosis of AP may also be a result of frailty rather than aspiration. This study investigated the impact of AP and other prognostic factors in older patients with pneumonia.
METHODS: We performed a retrospective cohort study of patients aged 75 years and older, admitted with pneumonia in 2021. We divided patients according to their initial diagnosis (AP or non-AP), compared outcomes using Kaplan-Meier curves, and used logistic regression to identify independent prognostic factors.
RESULTS: 803 patients were included, with a median age of 84 years and 52.7% were male. 17.3% were initially diagnosed with AP. Mortality was significantly higher in those diagnosed with AP than non-AP during admission (27.6% vs 19.0%, p = 0.024) and at 1 year (64.2% vs 53.1%, p = 0.018), with survival analysis showing a median survival time of 62 days and 274 days in AP and non-AP, respectively (χ2 = 9.2, p = 0.002). However, the initial diagnosis of AP was not an independent risk factor for poor prognosis in multivariable analysis. Old age, frailty and cardio-respiratory comorbidities were the main factors associated with death.
CONCLUSION: The greater mortality in AP may be a result of increased frailty rather than the diagnosis of aspiration itself. This supports our proposal for a paradigm shift from making predictions based on the potentially futile labelling of AP or non-AP, to considering frailty and overall condition of the patient.
| Medienart: |
E-Artikel |
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| Erscheinungsjahr: |
2024 |
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| Erschienen: |
2024 |
| Enthalten in: |
Zur Gesamtaufnahme - volume:15 |
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| Enthalten in: |
European geriatric medicine - 15(2024), 2 vom: 03. Apr., Seite 481-488 |
| Sprache: |
Englisch |
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| Beteiligte Personen: |
Yoshimatsu, Yuki [VerfasserIn] |
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| Links: |
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| Themen: |
Anticholinergic |
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| Anmerkungen: |
Date Completed 08.04.2024 Date Revised 08.04.2024 published: Print-Electronic Citation Status MEDLINE |
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| doi: |
10.1007/s41999-023-00929-0 |
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| funding: |
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| Förderinstitution / Projekttitel: |
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NLM367996693 |
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| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a Prognostic factors of poor outcomes in pneumonia in older adults |b aspiration or frailty? |
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| 500 | |a Date Revised 08.04.2024 | ||
| 500 | |a published: Print-Electronic | ||
| 500 | |a Citation Status MEDLINE | ||
| 520 | |a © 2024. The Author(s). | ||
| 520 | |a PURPOSE: Little is known about the long-term and functional prognoses of older adults with pneumonia, which complicates their management. There is a common belief that aspiration is a poor prognostic factor; however, the diagnosis of aspiration pneumonia (AP) lacks consensus criteria and is mainly based on clinical characteristics typical of the frailty syndrome. Therefore, the poor prognosis of AP may also be a result of frailty rather than aspiration. This study investigated the impact of AP and other prognostic factors in older patients with pneumonia | ||
| 520 | |a METHODS: We performed a retrospective cohort study of patients aged 75 years and older, admitted with pneumonia in 2021. We divided patients according to their initial diagnosis (AP or non-AP), compared outcomes using Kaplan-Meier curves, and used logistic regression to identify independent prognostic factors | ||
| 520 | |a RESULTS: 803 patients were included, with a median age of 84 years and 52.7% were male. 17.3% were initially diagnosed with AP. Mortality was significantly higher in those diagnosed with AP than non-AP during admission (27.6% vs 19.0%, p = 0.024) and at 1 year (64.2% vs 53.1%, p = 0.018), with survival analysis showing a median survival time of 62 days and 274 days in AP and non-AP, respectively (χ2 = 9.2, p = 0.002). However, the initial diagnosis of AP was not an independent risk factor for poor prognosis in multivariable analysis. Old age, frailty and cardio-respiratory comorbidities were the main factors associated with death | ||
| 520 | |a CONCLUSION: The greater mortality in AP may be a result of increased frailty rather than the diagnosis of aspiration itself. This supports our proposal for a paradigm shift from making predictions based on the potentially futile labelling of AP or non-AP, to considering frailty and overall condition of the patient | ||
| 650 | 4 | |a Journal Article | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Anticholinergic | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Aspiration pneumonia | |
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| 700 | 1 | |a Thompson, Trevor |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Smithard, David G |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
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