Risk factors for ketoacidosis in children/adolescents with type 1 diabetes mellitus and establishment of a predictive model

OBJECTIVES: To investigate the risk factors for diabetic ketoacidosis (DKA) in children/adolescents with type 1 diabetes mellitus (T1DM) and to establish a model for predicting the risk of DKA.

METHODS: A retrospective analysis was performed on 217 children/adolescents with T1DM who were admitted to General Hospital of Ningxia Medical University from January 2018 to December 2021. Among the 217 children/adolescents,169 cases with DKA were included as the DKA group and 48 cases without DKA were included as the non-DKA group. The risk factors for DKA in the children/adolescents with T1DM were analyzed, and a nomogram model was established for predicting the risk of DKA in children/adolescents with T1DM.

RESULTS: For the 217 children/adolescents with T1DM, the incidence rate of DKA was 77.9% (169/217). The multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that high levels of random blood glucose, hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c), blood ketone body, and triglyceride on admission were closely associated with the development of DKA in the children/adolescents with T1DM (OR=1.156, 3.2031015, 20.131, and 9.519 respectively; P<0.05). The nomogram prediction model had a C-statistic of 0.95, with a mean absolute error of 0.004 between the risk of DKA predicted by the nomogram model and the actual risk of DKA, indicating that the model had a good overall prediction ability.

CONCLUSIONS: High levels of random blood glucose, HbA1c, blood ketone body, and triglyceride on admission are closely associated with the development of DKA in children/adolescents with T1DM, and targeted intervention measures should be developed to reduce the risk of DKA.

Medienart:

E-Artikel

Erscheinungsjahr:

2024

Erschienen:

2024

Enthalten in:

Zur Gesamtaufnahme - volume:26

Enthalten in:

Zhongguo dang dai er ke za zhi = Chinese journal of contemporary pediatrics - 26(2024), 1 vom: 15. Jan., Seite 62-66

Sprache:

Chinesisch

Weiterer Titel:

儿童青少年1型糖尿病患儿发生酮症酸中毒的危险因素分析及预测模型的建立

Beteiligte Personen:

Wang, Xiao-Jia [VerfasserIn]
Gong, Ai-Hong [VerfasserIn]
Qi, Sheng-Hong [VerfasserIn]
Liu, Lan [VerfasserIn]

Links:

Volltext

Themen:

Adolescent
Blood Glucose
Child
English Abstract
Glycated Hemoglobin
Journal Article
Ketoacidosis
Ketone Bodies
Nomogram
Risk factor
Triglycerides
Type 1 diabetes mellitus

Anmerkungen:

Date Completed 26.01.2024

Date Revised 28.01.2024

published: Print

Citation Status MEDLINE

doi:

10.7499/j.issn.1008-8830.2308042

funding:

Förderinstitution / Projekttitel:

PPN (Katalog-ID):

NLM367598892