Development of blood demand prediction model using artificial intelligence based on national public big data

© The Author(s) 2024..

Objective: Modern healthcare systems face challenges related to the stable and sufficient blood supply of blood due to shortages. This study aimed to predict the monthly blood transfusion requirements in medical institutions using an artificial intelligence model based on national open big data related to transfusion.

Methods: Data regarding blood types and components in Korea from January 2010 to December 2021 were obtained from the Health Insurance Review and Assessment Service and Statistics Korea. The data were collected from a single medical institution. Using the obtained information, predictive models were developed, including eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LGBM), and category boosting (CatBoost). An ensemble model was created using these three models.

Results: The prediction performance of XGBoost, LGBM, and CatBoost demonstrated a mean absolute error ranging from 14.6657 for AB+ red blood cells (RBCs) to 84.0433 for A+ platelet concentrate (PC) and a root mean squared error ranging from 18.5374 for AB+ RBCs to 118.6245 for B+ PC. The error range was further improved by creating ensemble models, wherein the department requesting blood was the most influential parameter affecting transfusion prediction performance for different blood products and types. Except for the department, the features that affected the prediction performance varied for each product and blood type, including the number of RBC antibody screens, crossmatch, nationwide blood donations, and surgeries.

Conclusion: Based on blood-related open big data, the developed blood-demand prediction algorithm can efficiently provide medical facilities with an appropriate volume of blood ahead of time.

Medienart:

E-Artikel

Erscheinungsjahr:

2024

Erschienen:

2024

Enthalten in:

Zur Gesamtaufnahme - volume:10

Enthalten in:

Digital health - 10(2024) vom: 20. Jan., Seite 20552076231224245

Sprache:

Englisch

Beteiligte Personen:

Kwon, Hi Jeong [VerfasserIn]
Park, Sholhui [VerfasserIn]
Park, Young Hoon [VerfasserIn]
Baik, Seung Min [VerfasserIn]
Park, Dong Jin [VerfasserIn]

Links:

Volltext

Themen:

Artificial intelligence
Big data
Boosting model
Journal Article
Prediction model
Transfusion

Anmerkungen:

Date Revised 23.01.2024

published: Electronic-eCollection

Citation Status PubMed-not-MEDLINE

doi:

10.1177/20552076231224245

funding:

Förderinstitution / Projekttitel:

PPN (Katalog-ID):

NLM36740639X