External Validation of the Post-Concussion Symptoms Rule for Predicting Mild Traumatic Brain Injury Outcome
Persistent symptoms are common after a mild traumatic brain injury (mTBI). The Post-Concussion Symptoms (PoCS) Rule is a newly developed clinical decision rule for the prediction of persistent post-concussion symptoms (PPCS) 3 months after an mTBI. The PoCS Rule includes assessment of demographic and clinical characteristics and headache presence in the emergency department (ED), and follow-up assessment of symptoms at 7 days post-injury using two thresholds (lower/higher) for symptom scoring. We examined the PoCS Rule in an independent sample. We analyzed a clinical trial that recruited participants with mTBI from EDs in Greater Vancouver, Canada. The primary analysis used data from 236 participants, who were randomized to a usual care control group, and completed the Rivermead Postconcussion Symptoms Questionnaire at 3 months. The primary outcome was PPCS, as defined by the PoCS authors. We assessed the overall performance of the PoCS rule (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUC]), sensitivity, and specificity. More than 40% of participants (median age 38 years, 59% female) reported PPCS at 3 months. Most participants (88%) were categorized as being at medium risk based on the ED assessment, and a majority were considered as being at high risk according to the final PoCS Rule (81% using a lower threshold and 72% using a higher threshold). The PoCS Rule showed a sensitivity of 93% (95% confidence interval [CI], 88-98; lower threshold) and 85% (95% CI, 78-92; higher threshold), and a specificity of 28% (95% CI, 21-36) and 37% (95% CI, 29-46), respectively. The overall performance was modest (AUC 0.61, 95% CI 0.59, 0.65). In conclusion, the PoCS Rule was sensitive for PPCS, but had a low specificity in our sample. Follow-up assessment of symptoms can improve risk stratification after mTBI.
Medienart: |
E-Artikel |
---|
Erscheinungsjahr: |
2024 |
---|---|
Erschienen: |
2024 |
Enthalten in: |
Zur Gesamtaufnahme - year:2024 |
---|---|
Enthalten in: |
Journal of neurotrauma - (2024) vom: 13. Feb. |
Sprache: |
Englisch |
---|
Beteiligte Personen: |
Mikolić, Ana [VerfasserIn] |
---|
Links: |
---|
Themen: |
Clinical decision rule |
---|
Anmerkungen: |
Date Revised 13.02.2024 published: Print-Electronic Citation Status Publisher |
---|
doi: |
10.1089/neu.2023.0484 |
---|
funding: |
|
---|---|
Förderinstitution / Projekttitel: |
|
PPN (Katalog-ID): |
NLM367171899 |
---|
LEADER | 01000caa a22002652 4500 | ||
---|---|---|---|
001 | NLM367171899 | ||
003 | DE-627 | ||
005 | 20240214233118.0 | ||
007 | cr uuu---uuuuu | ||
008 | 240116s2024 xx |||||o 00| ||eng c | ||
024 | 7 | |a 10.1089/neu.2023.0484 |2 doi | |
028 | 5 | 2 | |a pubmed24n1293.xml |
035 | |a (DE-627)NLM367171899 | ||
035 | |a (NLM)38226635 | ||
040 | |a DE-627 |b ger |c DE-627 |e rakwb | ||
041 | |a eng | ||
100 | 1 | |a Mikolić, Ana |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
245 | 1 | 0 | |a External Validation of the Post-Concussion Symptoms Rule for Predicting Mild Traumatic Brain Injury Outcome |
264 | 1 | |c 2024 | |
336 | |a Text |b txt |2 rdacontent | ||
337 | |a ƒaComputermedien |b c |2 rdamedia | ||
338 | |a ƒa Online-Ressource |b cr |2 rdacarrier | ||
500 | |a Date Revised 13.02.2024 | ||
500 | |a published: Print-Electronic | ||
500 | |a Citation Status Publisher | ||
520 | |a Persistent symptoms are common after a mild traumatic brain injury (mTBI). The Post-Concussion Symptoms (PoCS) Rule is a newly developed clinical decision rule for the prediction of persistent post-concussion symptoms (PPCS) 3 months after an mTBI. The PoCS Rule includes assessment of demographic and clinical characteristics and headache presence in the emergency department (ED), and follow-up assessment of symptoms at 7 days post-injury using two thresholds (lower/higher) for symptom scoring. We examined the PoCS Rule in an independent sample. We analyzed a clinical trial that recruited participants with mTBI from EDs in Greater Vancouver, Canada. The primary analysis used data from 236 participants, who were randomized to a usual care control group, and completed the Rivermead Postconcussion Symptoms Questionnaire at 3 months. The primary outcome was PPCS, as defined by the PoCS authors. We assessed the overall performance of the PoCS rule (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUC]), sensitivity, and specificity. More than 40% of participants (median age 38 years, 59% female) reported PPCS at 3 months. Most participants (88%) were categorized as being at medium risk based on the ED assessment, and a majority were considered as being at high risk according to the final PoCS Rule (81% using a lower threshold and 72% using a higher threshold). The PoCS Rule showed a sensitivity of 93% (95% confidence interval [CI], 88-98; lower threshold) and 85% (95% CI, 78-92; higher threshold), and a specificity of 28% (95% CI, 21-36) and 37% (95% CI, 29-46), respectively. The overall performance was modest (AUC 0.61, 95% CI 0.59, 0.65). In conclusion, the PoCS Rule was sensitive for PPCS, but had a low specificity in our sample. Follow-up assessment of symptoms can improve risk stratification after mTBI | ||
650 | 4 | |a Journal Article | |
650 | 4 | |a clinical decision rule | |
650 | 4 | |a external validation | |
650 | 4 | |a mild traumatic brain injury | |
650 | 4 | |a persistent post-concussion symptoms | |
700 | 1 | |a Brasher, Penelope M A |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
700 | 1 | |a Brubacher, Jeffrey R |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
700 | 1 | |a Panenka, William |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
700 | 1 | |a Scheuermeyer, Frank X |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
700 | 1 | |a Archambault, Patrick |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
700 | 1 | |a Khazei, Afshin |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
700 | 1 | |a Silverberg, Noah D |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
773 | 0 | 8 | |i Enthalten in |t Journal of neurotrauma |d 1996 |g (2024) vom: 13. Feb. |w (DE-627)NLM01272498X |x 1557-9042 |7 nnns |
773 | 1 | 8 | |g year:2024 |g day:13 |g month:02 |
856 | 4 | 0 | |u http://dx.doi.org/10.1089/neu.2023.0484 |3 Volltext |
912 | |a GBV_USEFLAG_A | ||
912 | |a GBV_NLM | ||
951 | |a AR | ||
952 | |j 2024 |b 13 |c 02 |