Genomic Classification and Individualized Prognosis in Multiple Myeloma

PURPOSE: Outcomes for patients with newly diagnosed multiple myeloma (NDMM) are heterogenous, with overall survival (OS) ranging from months to over 10 years.

METHODS: To decipher and predict the molecular and clinical heterogeneity of NDMM, we assembled a series of 1,933 patients with available clinical, genomic, and therapeutic data.

RESULTS: Leveraging a comprehensive catalog of genomic drivers, we identified 12 groups, expanding on previous gene expression-based molecular classifications. To build a model predicting individualized risk in NDMM (IRMMa), we integrated clinical, genomic, and treatment variables. To correct for time-dependent variables, including high-dose melphalan followed by autologous stem-cell transplantation (HDM-ASCT), and maintenance therapy, a multi-state model was designed. The IRMMa model accuracy was significantly higher than all comparator prognostic models, with a c-index for OS of 0.726, compared with International Staging System (ISS; 0.61), revised-ISS (0.572), and R2-ISS (0.625). Integral to model accuracy was 20 genomic features, including 1q21 gain/amp, del 1p, TP53 loss, NSD2 translocations, APOBEC mutational signatures, and copy-number signatures (reflecting the complex structural variant chromothripsis). IRMMa accuracy and superiority compared with other prognostic models were validated on 256 patients enrolled in the GMMG-HD6 (ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT02495922) clinical trial. Individualized patient risks were significantly affected across the 12 genomic groups by different treatment strategies (ie, treatment variance), which was used to identify patients for whom HDM-ASCT is particularly effective versus patients for whom the impact is limited.

CONCLUSION: Integrating clinical, demographic, genomic, and therapeutic data, to our knowledge, we have developed the first individualized risk-prediction model enabling personally tailored therapeutic decisions for patients with NDMM.

Medienart:

E-Artikel

Erscheinungsjahr:

2024

Erschienen:

2024

Enthalten in:

Zur Gesamtaufnahme - volume:42

Enthalten in:

Journal of clinical oncology : official journal of the American Society of Clinical Oncology - 42(2024), 11 vom: 10. Apr., Seite 1229-1240

Sprache:

Englisch

Beteiligte Personen:

Maura, Francesco [VerfasserIn]
Rajanna, Arjun Raj [VerfasserIn]
Ziccheddu, Bachisio [VerfasserIn]
Poos, Alexandra M [VerfasserIn]
Derkach, Andriy [VerfasserIn]
Maclachlan, Kylee [VerfasserIn]
Durante, Michael [VerfasserIn]
Diamond, Benjamin [VerfasserIn]
Papadimitriou, Marios [VerfasserIn]
Davies, Faith [VerfasserIn]
Boyle, Eileen M [VerfasserIn]
Walker, Brian [VerfasserIn]
Hultcrantz, Malin [VerfasserIn]
Silva, Ariosto [VerfasserIn]
Hampton, Oliver [VerfasserIn]
Teer, Jamie K [VerfasserIn]
Siegel, Erin M [VerfasserIn]
Bolli, Niccolò [VerfasserIn]
Jackson, Graham H [VerfasserIn]
Kaiser, Martin [VerfasserIn]
Pawlyn, Charlotte [VerfasserIn]
Cook, Gordon [VerfasserIn]
Kazandjian, Dickran [VerfasserIn]
Stein, Caleb [VerfasserIn]
Chesi, Marta [VerfasserIn]
Bergsagel, Leif [VerfasserIn]
Mai, Elias K [VerfasserIn]
Goldschmidt, Hartmut [VerfasserIn]
Weisel, Katja C [VerfasserIn]
Fenk, Roland [VerfasserIn]
Raab, Marc S [VerfasserIn]
Van Rhee, Fritz [VerfasserIn]
Usmani, Saad [VerfasserIn]
Shain, Kenneth H [VerfasserIn]
Weinhold, Niels [VerfasserIn]
Morgan, Gareth [VerfasserIn]
Landgren, Ola [VerfasserIn]

Links:

Volltext

Themen:

Journal Article
Melphalan
Q41OR9510P

Anmerkungen:

Date Completed 08.04.2024

Date Revised 08.04.2024

published: Print-Electronic

ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT02495922

Citation Status MEDLINE

doi:

10.1200/JCO.23.01277

funding:

Förderinstitution / Projekttitel:

PPN (Katalog-ID):

NLM366852116