Optimizing COVID-19 testing strategies on college campuses : Evaluation of the health and economic costs

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Colleges and universities in the US struggled to provide safe in-person education throughout the COVID-19 pandemic. Testing coupled with isolation is a nimble intervention strategy that can be tailored to mitigate the changing health and economic risks associated with SARS-CoV-2. We developed a decision-support tool to aid in the design of university-based screening strategies using a mathematical model of SARS-CoV-2 transmission. Applying this framework to a large public university reopening in the fall of 2021 with a 60% student vaccination rate, we find that the optimal strategy, in terms of health and economic costs, is twice weekly antigen testing of all students. This strategy provides a 95% guarantee that, throughout the fall semester, case counts would not exceed twice the CDC's original high transmission threshold of 100 cases per 100k persons over 7 days. As the virus and our medical armament continue to evolve, testing will remain a flexible tool for managing risks and keeping campuses open. We have implemented this model as an online tool to facilitate the design of testing strategies that adjust for COVID-19 conditions as well as campus-specific populations, resources, and priorities.

Errataetall:

UpdateOf: medRxiv. 2022 Dec 05;:. - PMID 36523405

Medienart:

E-Artikel

Erscheinungsjahr:

2023

Erschienen:

2023

Enthalten in:

Zur Gesamtaufnahme - volume:19

Enthalten in:

PLoS computational biology - 19(2023), 12 vom: 26. Dez., Seite e1011715

Sprache:

Englisch

Beteiligte Personen:

Johnson, Kaitlyn E [VerfasserIn]
Pasco, Remy [VerfasserIn]
Woody, Spencer [VerfasserIn]
Lachmann, Michael [VerfasserIn]
Johnson-Leon, Maureen [VerfasserIn]
Bhavnani, Darlene [VerfasserIn]
Klima, Jessica [VerfasserIn]
Paltiel, A David [VerfasserIn]
Fox, Spencer J [VerfasserIn]
Meyers, Lauren Ancel [VerfasserIn]

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Themen:

Journal Article

Anmerkungen:

Date Completed 09.01.2024

Date Revised 10.02.2024

published: Electronic-eCollection

UpdateOf: medRxiv. 2022 Dec 05;:. - PMID 36523405

Citation Status MEDLINE

doi:

10.1371/journal.pcbi.1011715

funding:

Förderinstitution / Projekttitel:

PPN (Katalog-ID):

NLM366248871