Optimal timing of nirmatrelvir/ritonavir treatment after COVID-19 symptom onset or diagnosis : target trial emulation

© 2023. The Author(s)..

Reports of symptomatic rebound and/or test re-positivity among COVID-19 patients following the standard five-day treatment course of nirmatrelvir/ritonavir have sparked debates regarding optimal treatment timing and dosage. It is unclear whether initiating nirmatrelvir/ritonavir immediately after symptom onset would improve clinical outcomes and/or lead to post-treatment viral burden rebound due to inadequate viral clearance during treatment. Here we show that, by emulating a randomized target trial using real-world electronic medical record data from all 87,070 adult users of nirmatrelvir/ritonavir in Hong Kong between 16th March 2022 and 15th January 2023, early initiation of nirmatrelvir/ritonavir treatment (0 to 1 days after symptom onset or diagnosis) significantly reduced the incidence of 28-day all-cause mortality and hospitalization compared to delayed initiation (2 or more days) (absolute risk reduction [ARR]: 1.50% (95% confidence interval 1.17-1.80%); relative risk [RR]: 0.77 (0.73, 0.82)), but may be associated with a significant elevated risk of viral burden rebound (ARR: -1.08% (-1.55%, -0.46%)), although the latter estimates were associated with high uncertainty due to limited sample sizes. As such, patients should continue to initiate nirmatrelvir/ritonavir early after symptom onset or diagnosis to better protect against the more serious outcomes of hospitalization and mortality.

Medienart:

E-Artikel

Erscheinungsjahr:

2023

Erschienen:

2023

Enthalten in:

Zur Gesamtaufnahme - volume:14

Enthalten in:

Nature communications - 14(2023), 1 vom: 16. Dez., Seite 8377

Sprache:

Englisch

Beteiligte Personen:

Wong, Carlos K H [VerfasserIn]
Lau, Jonathan J [VerfasserIn]
Au, Ivan C H [VerfasserIn]
Lau, Kristy T K [VerfasserIn]
Hung, Ivan F N [VerfasserIn]
Peiris, Malik [VerfasserIn]
Leung, Gabriel M [VerfasserIn]
Wu, Joseph T [VerfasserIn]

Links:

Volltext

Themen:

7R9A5P7H32
Antiviral Agents
Journal Article
Nirmatrelvir
O3J8G9O825
Ritonavir

Anmerkungen:

Date Completed 19.12.2023

Date Revised 19.12.2023

published: Electronic

Citation Status MEDLINE

doi:

10.1038/s41467-023-43706-0

funding:

Förderinstitution / Projekttitel:

PPN (Katalog-ID):

NLM365948128