A hierarchical prognostic model for Co-diabetes pancreatic adenocarcinoma

© 2023 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd..

Background: Co-diabetes pancreatic adenocarcinoma has a poorer prognosis than pancreatic adenocarcinoma without diabetes. This study aimed to develop a reliable prognostic model for patients with co-diabetes pancreatic adenocarcinoma.

Method: Overall, 169 patients with co-diabetes pancreatic adenocarcinoma were included in our study. First, the independent risk factors affecting the prognosis of patients with co-diabetes pancreatic adenocarcinoma were determined by univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses. Based on these identified risk factors, we developed a nomogram and evaluated its predictive ability using the concordance index, receiver operating characteristic curve, calibration plot, decision curve, and net reclassification index.

Results: In this study, prealbumin, transferrin, carcinoembryonic antigen, distant metastasis, tumor differentiation neutrophil count, lymphocyte count and fasting blood glucose were confirmed as significant prognostic factors. Based on these predictors, a new nomogram was developed. Compared with the American Joint Committee on Cancer 8 staging system and other models, the nomogram achieved a higher concordance index in the training (0.795) and validation (0.729) queues. The area under the nomogram's curve for predicting patient survival at 0.5, 1, and 1.5 years in the training queue was >0.8. Patients were risk-stratified using the nomogram, and Kaplan-Meier survival curves of subgroups were plotted. The Kaplan-Meier curve also showed better separation than the American Joint Committee on Cancer 8 staging system, indicating that our model has a better risk hierarchical ability.

Conclusions: Compared to the American Joint Committee on Cancer 8 staging system and other predictive models, our model showed better predictive ability for patients with co-diabetes pancreatic adenocarcinoma. Our model will help in patients' risk stratification and improves their prognosis.

Medienart:

E-Artikel

Erscheinungsjahr:

2023

Erschienen:

2023

Enthalten in:

Zur Gesamtaufnahme - volume:9

Enthalten in:

Heliyon - 9(2023), 11 vom: 14. Nov., Seite e21642

Sprache:

Englisch

Beteiligte Personen:

Wu, Zelong [VerfasserIn]
Liu, Chunsheng [VerfasserIn]
Ma, Zuyi [VerfasserIn]
Li, Zhenchong [VerfasserIn]
Wang, Shujie [VerfasserIn]
Chen, Yubin [VerfasserIn]
Han, Mingqian [VerfasserIn]
Huang, Shanzhou [VerfasserIn]
Zhou, Qi [VerfasserIn]
Zhang, Chuanzhao [VerfasserIn]
Hou, Baohua [VerfasserIn]

Links:

Volltext

Themen:

Co-diabetes pancreatic adenocarcinoma
Journal Article
Nomogram
Overall survival
Prealbumin
Prognostic hierarchical
Transferrin

Anmerkungen:

Date Revised 01.12.2023

published: Electronic-eCollection

Citation Status PubMed-not-MEDLINE

doi:

10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e21642

funding:

Förderinstitution / Projekttitel:

PPN (Katalog-ID):

NLM365187429