Association between ozone and influenza transmissibility in China

© 2023. The Author(s)..

BACKGROUND: Common air pollutants such as ozone (O3), sulfur dioxide (SO2), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), and particulate matter play significant roles as influential factors in influenza-like illness (ILI). However, evidence regarding the impact of O3 on influenza transmissibility in multi-subtropical regions is limited, and our understanding of the effects of O3 on influenza transmissibility in temperate regions remain unknown.

METHODS: We studied the transmissibility of influenza in eight provinces across both temperate and subtropical regions in China based on 2013 to 2018 provincial-level surveillance data on influenza-like illness (ILI) incidence and viral activity. We estimated influenza transmissibility by using the instantaneous reproduction number ([Formula: see text]) and examined the relationships between transmissibility and daily O3 concentrations, air temperature, humidity, and school holidays. We developed a multivariable regression model for [Formula: see text] to quantify the contribution of O3 to variations in transmissibility.

RESULTS: Our findings revealed a significant association between O3 and influenza transmissibility. In Beijing, Tianjin, Shanghai and Jiangsu, the association exhibited a U-shaped trend. In Liaoning, Gansu, Hunan, and Guangdong, the association was L-shaped. When aggregating data across all eight provinces, a U-shaped association was emerged. O3 was able to accounted for up to 13% of the variance in [Formula: see text]. O3 plus other environmental drivers including mean daily temperature, relative humidity, absolute humidity, and school holidays explained up to 20% of the variance in [Formula: see text].

CONCLUSIONS: O3 was a significant driver of influenza transmissibility, and the association between O3 and influenza transmissibility tended to display a U-shaped pattern.

Medienart:

E-Artikel

Erscheinungsjahr:

2023

Erschienen:

2023

Enthalten in:

Zur Gesamtaufnahme - volume:23

Enthalten in:

BMC infectious diseases - 23(2023), 1 vom: 06. Nov., Seite 763

Sprache:

Englisch

Beteiligte Personen:

Yang, Jiao [VerfasserIn]
Zhang, Ting [VerfasserIn]
Yang, Liuyang [VerfasserIn]
Han, Xuan [VerfasserIn]
Zhang, Xingxing [VerfasserIn]
Wang, Qing [VerfasserIn]
Feng, Luzhao [VerfasserIn]
Yang, Weizhong [VerfasserIn]

Links:

Volltext

Themen:

66H7ZZK23N
Air Pollutants
Flu
Influenza
Journal Article
Ozone
Transmissibility

Anmerkungen:

Date Completed 08.11.2023

Date Revised 10.11.2023

published: Electronic

Citation Status MEDLINE

doi:

10.1186/s12879-023-08769-w

funding:

Förderinstitution / Projekttitel:

PPN (Katalog-ID):

NLM364244666