Hepatocellular carcinoma risk in sub-Saharan African and Afro-Surinamese individuals with chronic hepatitis B living in Europe

Copyright © 2023 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved..

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Sub-Saharan African (SSA) ethnicity has been associated with a higher risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) among individuals with chronic hepatitis B in cross-sectional studies. However, the incidence of HCC and performance of HCC risk scores in this population are unknown.

METHODS: We conducted an international multicenter retrospective cohort study of all consecutive HBV-monoinfected individuals of SSA or Afro-Surinamese (AS) ethnicity managed at sites in the Netherlands, the United Kingdom and Spain. We assessed the 5- and 10-year cumulative incidences of HCC in the overall study population, among different clinically relevant subgroups and across (m)PAGE-B subgroups. Next, we explored the different risk factors for HCC.

RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 8 years, we analyzed 1,473 individuals of whom 34 developed HCC. The 5- and 10-year cumulative incidences of HCC were 1% and 2.4%. The 10-year cumulative incidence of HCC was 0.7% among individuals without advanced fibrosis at baseline, compared to 12.1% among individuals with advanced fibrosis (p <0.001). Higher age (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 1.05), lower platelet count (aHR 0.98), lower albumin level (aHR 0.90) and higher HBV DNA log10 (aHR 1.21) were significantly associated with HCC development. The 10-year cumulative incidence of HCC was 0.5% among individuals with a low PAGE-B score, compared to 2.9% in the intermediate- and 15.9% in the high-risk groups (p <0.001).

CONCLUSIONS: In this unique international multicenter cohort of SSA and AS individuals with chronic hepatitis B, we observed 5- and 10-year cumulative HCC risks of 1% and 2.4%, respectively. The risk of HCC was negligible for individuals without advanced fibrosis at baseline, and among individuals with low baseline (m)PAGE-B scores. These findings can be used to guide HCC surveillance strategies.

IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS: Sub-Saharan African ethnicity has been associated with a higher risk of hepatocellular carcinoma among individuals with chronic hepatitis B. In this international multicenter cohort study of sub-Saharan African and Afro-Surinamese individuals living with chronic hepatitis B in Europe, we observed 5- and 10-year cumulative incidences of hepatocellular carcinoma of 1% and 2.4%, respectively. The risk was negligible among individuals without advanced fibrosis and a low baseline (m)PAGE-B score. These findings can be used to guide HCC surveillance strategies in this population.

Medienart:

E-Artikel

Erscheinungsjahr:

2024

Erschienen:

2024

Enthalten in:

Zur Gesamtaufnahme - volume:80

Enthalten in:

Journal of hepatology - 80(2024), 2 vom: 04. Feb., Seite 243-250

Sprache:

Englisch

Beteiligte Personen:

Patmore, Lesley A [VerfasserIn]
van Eekhout, Kirsi M A [VerfasserIn]
Buti, Maria [VerfasserIn]
Koc, Özgur M [VerfasserIn]
Agarwal, Kosh [VerfasserIn]
de Knegt, Rob J [VerfasserIn]
Janssen, Harry L A [VerfasserIn]
van der Valk, Marc [VerfasserIn]
Lieveld, Faydra I [VerfasserIn]
Hansen, Bettina E [VerfasserIn]
Kramer, Matthijs [VerfasserIn]
de Bruijne, Joep [VerfasserIn]
Claassen, Mark A A [VerfasserIn]
Smit, Colette [VerfasserIn]
de Man, Rob A [VerfasserIn]
Takkenberg, Bart [VerfasserIn]
Carey, Ivana [VerfasserIn]
Sonneveld, Milan J [VerfasserIn]
HARP study group and HepNed [VerfasserIn]

Links:

Volltext

Themen:

Advanced fibrosis
Antiviral Agents
CHB
HCC
Journal Article
Modified PAGE-B score
Multicenter Study
PAGE-B score
Sub-Sahara Africa
Suriname
Surveillance

Anmerkungen:

Date Completed 29.01.2024

Date Revised 04.03.2024

published: Print-Electronic

Citation Status MEDLINE

doi:

10.1016/j.jhep.2023.10.019

funding:

Förderinstitution / Projekttitel:

PPN (Katalog-ID):

NLM363903623