Managing uncertainty in forecasting health workforce demand using the Robust Workforce Planning Framework : the example of midwives in Belgium
© 2023. BioMed Central Ltd., part of Springer Nature..
BACKGROUND: In Belgium, the Planning Commission for Medical Supply is responsible for monitoring human resources for health (HRH) and ultimately proposing workforce quotas. It is supported by the Planning Unit for the Supply of the Health Professions. This Unit quantifies and forecasts the workforce in the healthcare professions on the basis of a stock and flow model, based on trends observed in the past. In 2019, the Planning Unit asked the KCE (Belgian Health Care Knowledge Centre) to develop additional forecasting scenarios for the midwifery workforce, to complement the standard historical trend approach. The aim of this paper is to present the development of such forecasting scenarios.
METHODS: The Robust Workforce Planning Framework, developed by the Centre for Workforce Intelligence in the UK was used to develop alternative midwifery workforce scenarios. The framework consists of four steps (Horizon scanning, Scenario generation, Workforce modelling, and Policy analysis), the first two of which were undertaken by KCE, using two online surveys and five workshops with stakeholders.
RESULTS: Three alternative scenarios are proposed. The first scenario (close to the current situation) envisages pregnancy and maternity care centred on gynaecologists working either in a hospital or in private practice. The second scenario describes an organisation of midwife-led care in hospitals. In the third scenario, care is primarily organised by primary care practitioners (midwives and general practitioners) in outpatient settings.
CONCLUSIONS: The Robust Workforce Planning Framework provides an opportunity to adjust the modelling of the health workforce and inform decision-makers about the impact of their future decisions on the health workforce.
| Medienart: |
E-Artikel |
|---|
| Erscheinungsjahr: |
2023 |
|---|---|
| Erschienen: |
2023 |
| Enthalten in: |
Zur Gesamtaufnahme - volume:21 |
|---|---|
| Enthalten in: |
Human resources for health - 21(2023), 1 vom: 18. Sept., Seite 75 |
| Sprache: |
Englisch |
|---|
| Beteiligte Personen: |
Benahmed, Nadia [VerfasserIn] |
|---|
| Links: |
|---|
| Themen: |
Belgium |
|---|
| Anmerkungen: |
Date Completed 20.09.2023 Date Revised 22.09.2023 published: Electronic Citation Status MEDLINE |
|---|
| doi: |
10.1186/s12960-023-00861-1 |
|---|
| funding: |
|
|---|---|
| Förderinstitution / Projekttitel: |
|
| PPN (Katalog-ID): |
NLM362204004 |
|---|
| LEADER | 01000naa a22002652 4500 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| 001 | NLM362204004 | ||
| 003 | DE-627 | ||
| 005 | 20231226090743.0 | ||
| 007 | cr uuu---uuuuu | ||
| 008 | 231226s2023 xx |||||o 00| ||eng c | ||
| 024 | 7 | |a 10.1186/s12960-023-00861-1 |2 doi | |
| 028 | 5 | 2 | |a pubmed24n1207.xml |
| 035 | |a (DE-627)NLM362204004 | ||
| 035 | |a (NLM)37723568 | ||
| 040 | |a DE-627 |b ger |c DE-627 |e rakwb | ||
| 041 | |a eng | ||
| 100 | 1 | |a Benahmed, Nadia |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a Managing uncertainty in forecasting health workforce demand using the Robust Workforce Planning Framework |b the example of midwives in Belgium |
| 264 | 1 | |c 2023 | |
| 336 | |a Text |b txt |2 rdacontent | ||
| 337 | |a ƒaComputermedien |b c |2 rdamedia | ||
| 338 | |a ƒa Online-Ressource |b cr |2 rdacarrier | ||
| 500 | |a Date Completed 20.09.2023 | ||
| 500 | |a Date Revised 22.09.2023 | ||
| 500 | |a published: Electronic | ||
| 500 | |a Citation Status MEDLINE | ||
| 520 | |a © 2023. BioMed Central Ltd., part of Springer Nature. | ||
| 520 | |a BACKGROUND: In Belgium, the Planning Commission for Medical Supply is responsible for monitoring human resources for health (HRH) and ultimately proposing workforce quotas. It is supported by the Planning Unit for the Supply of the Health Professions. This Unit quantifies and forecasts the workforce in the healthcare professions on the basis of a stock and flow model, based on trends observed in the past. In 2019, the Planning Unit asked the KCE (Belgian Health Care Knowledge Centre) to develop additional forecasting scenarios for the midwifery workforce, to complement the standard historical trend approach. The aim of this paper is to present the development of such forecasting scenarios | ||
| 520 | |a METHODS: The Robust Workforce Planning Framework, developed by the Centre for Workforce Intelligence in the UK was used to develop alternative midwifery workforce scenarios. The framework consists of four steps (Horizon scanning, Scenario generation, Workforce modelling, and Policy analysis), the first two of which were undertaken by KCE, using two online surveys and five workshops with stakeholders | ||
| 520 | |a RESULTS: Three alternative scenarios are proposed. The first scenario (close to the current situation) envisages pregnancy and maternity care centred on gynaecologists working either in a hospital or in private practice. The second scenario describes an organisation of midwife-led care in hospitals. In the third scenario, care is primarily organised by primary care practitioners (midwives and general practitioners) in outpatient settings | ||
| 520 | |a CONCLUSIONS: The Robust Workforce Planning Framework provides an opportunity to adjust the modelling of the health workforce and inform decision-makers about the impact of their future decisions on the health workforce | ||
| 650 | 4 | |a Journal Article | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Belgium | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Human resources for health | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Midwifery | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Midwifery services | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Scenario planning | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Lefèvre, Mélanie |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Stordeur, Sabine |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
| 773 | 0 | 8 | |i Enthalten in |t Human resources for health |d 2003 |g 21(2023), 1 vom: 18. Sept., Seite 75 |w (DE-627)NLM126590028 |x 1478-4491 |7 nnns |
| 773 | 1 | 8 | |g volume:21 |g year:2023 |g number:1 |g day:18 |g month:09 |g pages:75 |
| 856 | 4 | 0 | |u http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s12960-023-00861-1 |3 Volltext |
| 912 | |a GBV_USEFLAG_A | ||
| 912 | |a GBV_NLM | ||
| 951 | |a AR | ||
| 952 | |d 21 |j 2023 |e 1 |b 18 |c 09 |h 75 | ||