High temperature, COVID-19, and mortality excess in the 2022 summer : a cohort study on data from Italian surveillances
Copyright © 2023 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved..
We aimed to assess whether the effect of high temperature on mortality differed in COVID-19 survivors and naive. We used data from the summer mortality and COVID-19 surveillances. We found 3.8 % excess risk in 2022 summer, compared to 2015-2019, while 20 % in the last fortnight of July, the period with the highest temperature. The increase in mortality rates during the second fortnight of July was higher among naïve compared to COVID-19 survivors. The time series analysis confirmed the association between temperatures and mortality in naïve people, showing an 8 % excess (95%CI 2 to 13) for a one-degree increase of Thom Discomfort Index while in COVID-19 survivors the effect was almost null with -1 % (95%CI -9 to 9). Our results suggest that the high fatality rate of COVID-19 in fragile people has decreased the proportion of susceptible people who can be affected by the extremely high temperature.
Medienart: |
E-Artikel |
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Erscheinungsjahr: |
2023 |
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Erschienen: |
2023 |
Enthalten in: |
Zur Gesamtaufnahme - volume:887 |
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Enthalten in: |
The Science of the total environment - 887(2023) vom: 20. Aug., Seite 164104 |
Sprache: |
Englisch |
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Beteiligte Personen: |
Venturelli, Francesco [VerfasserIn] |
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Links: |
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Themen: |
COVID-19 |
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Anmerkungen: |
Date Completed 14.06.2023 Date Revised 14.06.2023 published: Print-Electronic Citation Status MEDLINE |
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doi: |
10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.164104 |
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funding: |
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Förderinstitution / Projekttitel: |
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PPN (Katalog-ID): |
NLM356816117 |
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520 | |a We aimed to assess whether the effect of high temperature on mortality differed in COVID-19 survivors and naive. We used data from the summer mortality and COVID-19 surveillances. We found 3.8 % excess risk in 2022 summer, compared to 2015-2019, while 20 % in the last fortnight of July, the period with the highest temperature. The increase in mortality rates during the second fortnight of July was higher among naïve compared to COVID-19 survivors. The time series analysis confirmed the association between temperatures and mortality in naïve people, showing an 8 % excess (95%CI 2 to 13) for a one-degree increase of Thom Discomfort Index while in COVID-19 survivors the effect was almost null with -1 % (95%CI -9 to 9). Our results suggest that the high fatality rate of COVID-19 in fragile people has decreased the proportion of susceptible people who can be affected by the extremely high temperature | ||
650 | 4 | |a Journal Article | |
650 | 4 | |a COVID-19 | |
650 | 4 | |a High temperature | |
650 | 4 | |a Mortality | |
650 | 4 | |a Sars-CoV-2 | |
650 | 4 | |a Surveillance | |
700 | 1 | |a Mancuso, Pamela |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
700 | 1 | |a Vicentini, Massimo |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
700 | 1 | |a Ottone, Marta |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
700 | 1 | |a Storchi, Cinzia |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
700 | 1 | |a Roncaglia, Francesca |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
700 | 1 | |a Bisaccia, Eufemia |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
700 | 1 | |a Ferrarini, Chiara |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
700 | 1 | |a Pezzotti, Patrizio |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
700 | 1 | |a Giorgi Rossi, Paolo |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
700 | 0 | |a Reggio Emilia COVID19 Working group |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
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