Development and External Validation of a Novel Nomogram to Predict the Probability of Pelvic Lymph-node Metastases in Prostate Cancer Patients Using Magnetic Resonance Imaging and Molecular Imaging with Prostate-specific Membrane Antigen Positron Emission Tomography

Copyright © 2023 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved..

BACKGROUND: Preoperative assessment of the probability of pelvic lymph-node metastatic disease (pN1) is required to identify patients with prostate cancer (PCa) who are candidates for extended pelvic lymph-node dissection (ePLND).

OBJECTIVE: To develop a novel intuitive prognostic nomogram for predicting pathological lymph-node (pN) status in contemporary patients with primary diagnosed localized PCa, using preoperative clinical and histopathological parameters, magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), and prostate-specific membrane antigen (PSMA) positron emission tomography (PET).

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: In total, 700 eligible patients who underwent robot-assisted radical prostatectomy and ePLND were included in the model-building cohort. The external validation cohort consisted of 305 surgically treated patients. Logistic regression with backward elimination was used to select variables for the Amsterdam-Brisbane-Sydney nomogram.

OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS: Performance of the final model was evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), calibration plots, and decision-curve analyses. Models were subsequently validated in an external population.

RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS: The Amsterdam-Brisbane-Sydney nomogram included initial prostate-specific antigen value, MRI T stage, highest biopsy grade group (GG), biopsy technique, percentage of systematic cores with clinically significant PCa (GG ≥2), and lymph-node status on PSMA-PET. The AUC for predicting pN status was 0.81 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.78-0.85) for the final model. On external validation, the Amsterdam-Brisbane-Sydney nomogram showed superior discriminative ability to the Briganti-2017 and Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center (MSKCC) nomograms (AUC 0.75 [95% CI 0.69-0.81] vs 0.67 [95% CI 0.61-0.74] and 0.65 [95% CI 0.58-0.72], respectively; p < 0.05), and similar discriminative ability to the Briganti-2019 nomogram (AUC 0.78 [95% CI 0.71-0.86] vs 0.80 [95% CI 0.73-0.86]; p = 0.76). The Amsterdam-Brisbane-Sydney nomogram showed excellent calibration on external validation, with an increased net benefit at a threshold probability of ≥4%.

CONCLUSIONS: The validated Amsterdam-Brisbane-Sydney nomogram performs superior to the Briganti-2017 and MSKCC nomograms, and similar to the Briganti-2019 nomogram. Furthermore, it is applicable in all patients with newly diagnosed unfavorable intermediate- and high-risk PCa.

PATIENT SUMMARY: We developed and validated the Amsterdam-Brisbane-Sydney nomogram for the prediction of prostate cancer spread to lymph nodes before surgery. This nomogram performs similar or superior to all presently available nomograms.

Errataetall:

CommentIn: Eur Urol Oncol. 2023 Dec;6(6):564-565. - PMID 37541904

Medienart:

E-Artikel

Erscheinungsjahr:

2023

Erschienen:

2023

Enthalten in:

Zur Gesamtaufnahme - volume:6

Enthalten in:

European urology oncology - 6(2023), 6 vom: 13. Dez., Seite 553-563

Sprache:

Englisch

Beteiligte Personen:

Vis, André N [VerfasserIn]
Meijer, Dennie [VerfasserIn]
Roberts, Matthew J [VerfasserIn]
Siriwardana, Amila R [VerfasserIn]
Morton, Andrew [VerfasserIn]
Yaxley, John W [VerfasserIn]
Samaratunga, Hemamali [VerfasserIn]
Emmett, Louise [VerfasserIn]
van de Ven, Peter M [VerfasserIn]
Heymans, Martijn W [VerfasserIn]
Nieuwenhuijzen, Jakko A [VerfasserIn]
van der Poel, Henk G [VerfasserIn]
Donswijk, Maarten L [VerfasserIn]
Boellaard, Thierry N [VerfasserIn]
Schoots, Ivo G [VerfasserIn]
Stricker, Phillip [VerfasserIn]
Haynes, Anne-Maree [VerfasserIn]
Oprea-Lager, Daniela E [VerfasserIn]
Coughlin, Geoffrey D [VerfasserIn]
van Leeuwen, Pim J [VerfasserIn]

Links:

Volltext

Themen:

Journal Article
Lymph-node metastasis
Magnetic resonance imaging
Nomogram
Pelvic lymph-node dissection
Prostate cancer
Prostate-specific membrane antigen positron emission tomography imaging

Anmerkungen:

Date Completed 04.12.2023

Date Revised 11.01.2024

published: Print-Electronic

CommentIn: Eur Urol Oncol. 2023 Dec;6(6):564-565. - PMID 37541904

Citation Status MEDLINE

doi:

10.1016/j.euo.2023.03.010

funding:

Förderinstitution / Projekttitel:

PPN (Katalog-ID):

NLM355500736