A target-cell limited model can reproduce influenza infection dynamics in hosts with differing immune responses

Copyright © 2023 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd.. All rights reserved..

We consider a hierarchy of ordinary differential equation models that describe the within-host viral kinetics of influenza infections: the IR model explicitly accounts for an immune response to the virus, while the simpler, target-cell limited TEIV and TV models do not. We show that when the IR model is fitted to pooled experimental murine data of the viral load, fraction of dead cells, and immune response levels, its parameters values can be determined. However, if, as is common, only viral load data are available, we can estimate parameters of the TEIV and TV models but not the IR model. These results are substantiated by a structural and practical identifiability analysis. We then use the IR model to generate synthetic data representing infections in hosts whose immune responses differ. We fit the TV model to these synthetic datasets and show that it can reproduce the characteristic exponential increase and decay of viral load generated by the IR model. Furthermore, the values of the fitted parameters of the TV model can be mapped from the immune response parameters in the IR model. We conclude that, if only viral load data are available, a simple target-cell limited model can reproduce influenza infection dynamics and distinguish between hosts with differing immune responses.

Medienart:

E-Artikel

Erscheinungsjahr:

2023

Erschienen:

2023

Enthalten in:

Zur Gesamtaufnahme - volume:567

Enthalten in:

Journal of theoretical biology - 567(2023) vom: 21. Juni, Seite 111491

Sprache:

Englisch

Beteiligte Personen:

Sachak-Patwa, Rahil [VerfasserIn]
Lafferty, Erin I [VerfasserIn]
Schmit, Claude J [VerfasserIn]
Thompson, Robin N [VerfasserIn]
Byrne, Helen M [VerfasserIn]

Links:

Volltext

Themen:

Infectious disease
Journal Article
Mathematical modelling
Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
Theoretical immunology
Viral dynamics
Within-host kinetics

Anmerkungen:

Date Completed 09.05.2023

Date Revised 31.05.2023

published: Print-Electronic

Citation Status MEDLINE

doi:

10.1016/j.jtbi.2023.111491

funding:

Förderinstitution / Projekttitel:

PPN (Katalog-ID):

NLM355487284