Unintrusive multi-cancer detection by circulating cell-free DNA methylation sequencing (THUNDER) : development and independent validation studies

Copyright © 2023. Published by Elsevier Ltd..

BACKGROUND: Early detection of cancer offers the opportunity to identify candidates when curative treatments are achievable. The THUNDER study (THe UNintrusive Detection of EaRly-stage cancers, NCT04820868) aimed to evaluate the performance of enhanced linear-splinter amplification sequencing, a previously described cell-free DNA (cfDNA) methylation-based technology, in the early detection and localization of six types of cancers in the colorectum, esophagus, liver, lung, ovary, and pancreas.

PATIENTS AND METHODS: A customized panel of 161 984 CpG sites was constructed and validated by public and in-house (cancer: n = 249; non-cancer: n = 288) methylome data, respectively. The cfDNA samples from 1693 participants (cancer: n = 735; non-cancer: n = 958) were retrospectively collected to train and validate two multi-cancer detection blood test (MCDBT-1/2) models for different clinical scenarios. The models were validated on a prospective and independent cohort of age-matched 1010 participants (cancer: n = 505; non-cancer: n = 505). Simulation using the cancer incidence in China was applied to infer stage shift and survival benefits to demonstrate the potential utility of the models in the real world.

RESULTS: MCDBT-1 yielded a sensitivity of 69.1% (64.8%-73.3%), a specificity of 98.9% (97.6%-99.7%), and tissue origin accuracy of 83.2% (78.7%-87.1%) in the independent validation set. For early-stage (I-III) patients, the sensitivity of MCDBT-1 was 59.8% (54.4%-65.0%). In the real-world simulation, MCDBT-1 achieved a sensitivity of 70.6% in detecting the six cancers, thus decreasing late-stage incidence by 38.7%-46.4%, and increasing 5-year survival rate by 33.1%-40.4%, respectively. In parallel, MCDBT-2 was generated at a slightly low specificity of 95.1% (92.8%-96.9%) but a higher sensitivity of 75.1% (71.9%-79.8%) than MCDBT-1 for populations at relatively high risk of cancers, and also had ideal performance.

CONCLUSION: In this large-scale clinical validation study, MCDBT-1/2 models showed high sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy of predicted origin in detecting six types of cancers.

Medienart:

E-Artikel

Erscheinungsjahr:

2023

Erschienen:

2023

Enthalten in:

Zur Gesamtaufnahme - volume:34

Enthalten in:

Annals of oncology : official journal of the European Society for Medical Oncology - 34(2023), 5 vom: 01. Mai, Seite 486-495

Sprache:

Englisch

Beteiligte Personen:

Gao, Q [VerfasserIn]
Lin, Y P [VerfasserIn]
Li, B S [VerfasserIn]
Wang, G Q [VerfasserIn]
Dong, L Q [VerfasserIn]
Shen, B Y [VerfasserIn]
Lou, W H [VerfasserIn]
Wu, W C [VerfasserIn]
Ge, D [VerfasserIn]
Zhu, Q L [VerfasserIn]
Xu, Y [VerfasserIn]
Xu, J M [VerfasserIn]
Chang, W J [VerfasserIn]
Lan, P [VerfasserIn]
Zhou, P H [VerfasserIn]
He, M J [VerfasserIn]
Qiao, G B [VerfasserIn]
Chuai, S K [VerfasserIn]
Zang, R Y [VerfasserIn]
Shi, T Y [VerfasserIn]
Tan, L J [VerfasserIn]
Yin, J [VerfasserIn]
Zeng, Q [VerfasserIn]
Su, X F [VerfasserIn]
Wang, Z D [VerfasserIn]
Zhao, X Q [VerfasserIn]
Nian, W Q [VerfasserIn]
Zhang, S [VerfasserIn]
Zhou, J [VerfasserIn]
Cai, S L [VerfasserIn]
Zhang, Z H [VerfasserIn]
Fan, J [VerfasserIn]

Links:

Volltext

Themen:

Biomarkers, Tumor
Cell-Free Nucleic Acids
Cell-free DNA (cfDNA)
Journal Article
Machine learning
Methylation
Multi-cancer early detection
Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

Anmerkungen:

Date Completed 02.05.2023

Date Revised 12.05.2023

published: Print-Electronic

Citation Status MEDLINE

doi:

10.1016/j.annonc.2023.02.010

funding:

Förderinstitution / Projekttitel:

PPN (Katalog-ID):

NLM353551910