Automated Coronary Artery Calcium and Quantitative Emphysema in Lung Cancer Screening : Association With Mortality, Lung Cancer Incidence, and Airflow Obstruction
Copyright © 2023 The Author(s). Published by Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc..
PURPOSE: To assess automated coronary artery calcium (CAC) and quantitative emphysema (percentage of low attenuation areas [%LAA]) for predicting mortality and lung cancer (LC) incidence in LC screening. To explore correlations between %LAA, CAC, and forced expiratory value in 1 second (FEV 1 ) and the discriminative ability of %LAA for airflow obstruction.
MATERIALS AND METHODS: Baseline low-dose computed tomography scans of the BioMILD trial were analyzed using an artificial intelligence software. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to estimate the predictive value of %LAA and CAC. Harrell C -statistic and time-dependent area under the curve (AUC) were reported for 3 nested models (Model survey : age, sex, pack-years; Model survey-LDCT : Model survey plus %LAA plus CAC; Model final : Model survey-LDCT plus selected confounders). The correlations between %LAA, CAC, and FEV 1 and the discriminative ability of %LAA for airflow obstruction were tested using the Pearson correlation coefficient and AUC-receiver operating characteristic curve, respectively.
RESULTS: A total of 4098 volunteers were enrolled. %LAA and CAC independently predicted 6-year all-cause (Model final hazard ratio [HR], 1.14 per %LAA interquartile range [IQR] increase [95% CI, 1.05-1.23], 2.13 for CAC ≥400 [95% CI, 1.36-3.28]), noncancer (Model final HR, 1.25 per %LAA IQR increase [95% CI, 1.11-1.37], 3.22 for CAC ≥400 [95%CI, 1.62-6.39]), and cardiovascular (Model final HR, 1.25 per %LAA IQR increase [95% CI, 1.00-1.46], 4.66 for CAC ≥400, [95% CI, 1.80-12.58]) mortality, with an increase in concordance probability in Model survey-LDCT compared with Model survey ( P <0.05). No significant association with LC incidence was found after adjustments. Both biomarkers negatively correlated with FEV 1 ( P <0.01). %LAA identified airflow obstruction with a moderate discriminative ability (AUC, 0.738).
CONCLUSIONS: Automated CAC and %LAA added prognostic information to age, sex, and pack-years for predicting mortality but not LC incidence in an LC screening setting. Both biomarkers negatively correlated with FEV 1 , with %LAA enabling the identification of airflow obstruction with moderate discriminative ability.
Medienart: |
E-Artikel |
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Erscheinungsjahr: |
2023 |
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Erschienen: |
2023 |
Enthalten in: |
Zur Gesamtaufnahme - volume:38 |
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Enthalten in: |
Journal of thoracic imaging - 38(2023), 4 vom: 01. Juli, Seite W52-W63 |
Sprache: |
Englisch |
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Beteiligte Personen: |
Balbi, Maurizio [VerfasserIn] |
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Links: |
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Anmerkungen: |
Date Completed 29.06.2023 Date Revised 29.09.2023 published: Print-Electronic Citation Status MEDLINE |
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doi: |
10.1097/RTI.0000000000000698 |
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funding: |
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Förderinstitution / Projekttitel: |
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PPN (Katalog-ID): |
NLM351669272 |
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245 | 1 | 0 | |a Automated Coronary Artery Calcium and Quantitative Emphysema in Lung Cancer Screening |b Association With Mortality, Lung Cancer Incidence, and Airflow Obstruction |
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520 | |a Copyright © 2023 The Author(s). Published by Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc. | ||
520 | |a PURPOSE: To assess automated coronary artery calcium (CAC) and quantitative emphysema (percentage of low attenuation areas [%LAA]) for predicting mortality and lung cancer (LC) incidence in LC screening. To explore correlations between %LAA, CAC, and forced expiratory value in 1 second (FEV 1 ) and the discriminative ability of %LAA for airflow obstruction | ||
520 | |a MATERIALS AND METHODS: Baseline low-dose computed tomography scans of the BioMILD trial were analyzed using an artificial intelligence software. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to estimate the predictive value of %LAA and CAC. Harrell C -statistic and time-dependent area under the curve (AUC) were reported for 3 nested models (Model survey : age, sex, pack-years; Model survey-LDCT : Model survey plus %LAA plus CAC; Model final : Model survey-LDCT plus selected confounders). The correlations between %LAA, CAC, and FEV 1 and the discriminative ability of %LAA for airflow obstruction were tested using the Pearson correlation coefficient and AUC-receiver operating characteristic curve, respectively | ||
520 | |a RESULTS: A total of 4098 volunteers were enrolled. %LAA and CAC independently predicted 6-year all-cause (Model final hazard ratio [HR], 1.14 per %LAA interquartile range [IQR] increase [95% CI, 1.05-1.23], 2.13 for CAC ≥400 [95% CI, 1.36-3.28]), noncancer (Model final HR, 1.25 per %LAA IQR increase [95% CI, 1.11-1.37], 3.22 for CAC ≥400 [95%CI, 1.62-6.39]), and cardiovascular (Model final HR, 1.25 per %LAA IQR increase [95% CI, 1.00-1.46], 4.66 for CAC ≥400, [95% CI, 1.80-12.58]) mortality, with an increase in concordance probability in Model survey-LDCT compared with Model survey ( P <0.05). No significant association with LC incidence was found after adjustments. Both biomarkers negatively correlated with FEV 1 ( P <0.01). %LAA identified airflow obstruction with a moderate discriminative ability (AUC, 0.738) | ||
520 | |a CONCLUSIONS: Automated CAC and %LAA added prognostic information to age, sex, and pack-years for predicting mortality but not LC incidence in an LC screening setting. Both biomarkers negatively correlated with FEV 1 , with %LAA enabling the identification of airflow obstruction with moderate discriminative ability | ||
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