Number of COVID-19 cases required in a population to detect SARS-CoV-2 RNA in wastewater in the province of Alberta, Canada : Sensitivity assessment

Copyright © 2022. Published by Elsevier B.V..

With a unique and large size of testing results of 1,842 samples collected from 12 wastewater treatment plants (WWTP) for 14 months through from low to high prevalence of COVID-19, the sensitivity of RT-qPCR detection of SARS-CoV-2 RNA in wastewater that correspond to the communities was computed by using Probit analysis. This study determined the number of new COVID-19 cases per 100,000 population required to detect SARS-CoV-2 RNA in wastewater at defined probabilities and provided an evidence-based framework of wastewater-based epidemiology surveillance (WBE). Input data were positive and negative test results of SARS-CoV-2 RNA in wastewater samples and the corresponding new COVID-19 case rates per 100,000 population served by each WWTP. The analyses determined that RT-qPCR-based SARS-CoV-2 RNA detection threshold at 50%, 80% and 99% probability required a median of 8 (range: 4-19), 18 (9-43), and 38 (17-97) of new COVID-19 cases /100,000, respectively. Namely, the positive detection rate at 50%, 80% and 99% probability were 0.01%, 0.02%, and 0.04% averagely for new cases in the population. This study improves understanding of the performance of WBE SARS-CoV-2 RNA detection using the large datasets and prolonged study period. Estimated COVID-19 burden at a community level that would result in a positive detection of SARS-CoV-2 in wastewater is critical to support WBE application as a supplementary warning/monitoring system for COVID-19 prevention and control.

Medienart:

E-Artikel

Erscheinungsjahr:

2023

Erschienen:

2023

Enthalten in:

Zur Gesamtaufnahme - volume:125

Enthalten in:

Journal of environmental sciences (China) - 125(2023) vom: 05. März, Seite 843-850

Sprache:

Englisch

Beteiligte Personen:

Li, Qiaozhi [VerfasserIn]
Lee, Bonita E [VerfasserIn]
Gao, Tiejun [VerfasserIn]
Qiu, Yuanyuan [VerfasserIn]
Ellehoj, Erik [VerfasserIn]
Yu, Jiaao [VerfasserIn]
Diggle, Mathew [VerfasserIn]
Tipples, Graham [VerfasserIn]
Maal-Bared, Rasha [VerfasserIn]
Hinshaw, Deena [VerfasserIn]
Sikora, Christopher [VerfasserIn]
Ashbolt, Nicholas J [VerfasserIn]
Talbot, James [VerfasserIn]
Hrudey, Steve E [VerfasserIn]
Pang, Xiaoli [VerfasserIn]

Links:

Volltext

Themen:

COVID-19 cases
Detection sensitivity
Journal Article
Probability
Probit analysis
RNA, Viral
SARS-CoV-2
Waste Water
Wastewater

Anmerkungen:

Date Completed 16.11.2022

Date Revised 30.01.2023

published: Print-Electronic

Citation Status MEDLINE

doi:

10.1016/j.jes.2022.04.047

funding:

Förderinstitution / Projekttitel:

PPN (Katalog-ID):

NLM34889435X