Prediction of measured GFR after living kidney donation from pre-donation parameters

© The Author(s) 2022. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the ERA..

BACKGROUND: One of the challenges in living kidney donor screening is to estimate remaining kidney function after donation. Here we developed a new model to predict post-donation measured glomerular filtration rate (mGFR) from pre-donation serum creatinine, age and sex.

METHODS: In the prospective development cohort (TransplantLines, n = 511), several prediction models were constructed and tested for accuracy, precision and predictive capacity for short- and long-term post-donation 125I-iothalamate mGFR. The model with optimal performance was further tested in specific high-risk subgroups (pre-donation eGFR <90 mL/min/1.73 m2, a declining 5-year post-donation mGFR slope or age >65 years) and validated in internal (n = 509) and external (Mayo Clinic, n = 1087) cohorts.

RESULTS: In the development cohort, pre-donation estimated GFR (eGFR) was 86 ± 14 mL/min/1.73 m2 and post-donation mGFR was 64 ± 11 mL/min/1.73 m2. Donors with a pre-donation eGFR ≥90 mL/min/1.73 m2 (present in 43%) had a mean post-donation mGFR of 69 ± 10 mL/min/1.73 m2 and 5% of these donors reached an mGFR <55 mL/min/1.73 m2. A model using pre-donation serum creatinine, age and sex performed optimally, predicting mGFR with good accuracy (mean bias 2.56 mL/min/1.73 m2, R2 = 0.29, root mean square error = 11.61) and precision [bias interquartile range (IQR) 14 mL/min/1.73 m2] in the external validation cohort. This model also performed well in donors with pre-donation eGFR <90 mL/min/1.73 m2 [bias 0.35 mL/min/1.73 m2 (IQR 10)], in donors with a negative post-donation mGFR slope [bias 4.75 mL/min/1.73 m2 (IQR 13)] and in donors >65 years of age [bias 0.003 mL/min/1.73 m2 (IQR 9)].

CONCLUSIONS: We developed a novel post-donation mGFR prediction model based on pre-donation serum creatinine, age and sex.

Medienart:

E-Artikel

Erscheinungsjahr:

2023

Erschienen:

2023

Enthalten in:

Zur Gesamtaufnahme - volume:38

Enthalten in:

Nephrology, dialysis, transplantation : official publication of the European Dialysis and Transplant Association - European Renal Association - 38(2023), 1 vom: 23. Jan., Seite 212-221

Sprache:

Englisch

Beteiligte Personen:

van Londen, Marco [VerfasserIn]
van der Weijden, Jessica [VerfasserIn]
Niznik, Robert S [VerfasserIn]
Mullan, Aidan F [VerfasserIn]
Bakker, Stephan J L [VerfasserIn]
Berger, Stefan P [VerfasserIn]
Nolte, Ilja M [VerfasserIn]
Sanders, Jan-Stephan F [VerfasserIn]
Navis, Gerjan [VerfasserIn]
Rule, Andrew D [VerfasserIn]
de Borst, Martin H [VerfasserIn]

Links:

Volltext

Themen:

AYI8EX34EU
Creatinine
Donor selection
GVO776611R
Glomerular filtration rate
Iodine Radioisotopes
Iodine-125
Journal Article
Kidney function
Living kidney donation
Renal function equations

Anmerkungen:

Date Completed 25.01.2023

Date Revised 02.02.2023

published: Print

Citation Status MEDLINE

doi:

10.1093/ndt/gfac202

funding:

Förderinstitution / Projekttitel:

PPN (Katalog-ID):

NLM342527460