Incidence and length of outbreak period of COVID-19 and population density in comparison with seasonal influenza in Japan

© 2022 The Author(s)..

Objectives: There is no consensus regarding the impact of population density on the transmission of respiratory viral infections such as COVID-19 and seasonal influenza. Our study aimed to determine the correlation between population density and the incidence and duration of COVID-19 transmission.

Methods: Publicly available data for confirmed COVID-19 cases in Japan, from January 2020 through November 2021, were retrospectively collected. The average numbers of seasonal influenza cases reported in the national database from 2013-2014 through 2019-2020 were identified. Using data for COVID-19 and seasonal influenza population density and incidence rates (age-adjusted), the Pearson's correlation coefficient was determined.

Results: A significant positive correlation between log population density and length of outbreak period was observed for COVID-19 (r = 0.734; p < 0.001) but not for seasonal influenza. Additionally, a significant linear correlation was observed between population density and age-adjusted incidence rate for COVID-19 (r = 0.692; p < 0.001) but not for seasonal influenza.

Conclusions: In Japan, areas with high population density experienced a prolonged and more intense COVID-19 outbreak compared with areas with low population density. This was not observed with seasonal influenza, suggesting that public health measures against COVID-19 should be tailored according to population density.

Medienart:

E-Artikel

Erscheinungsjahr:

2022

Erschienen:

2022

Enthalten in:

Zur Gesamtaufnahme - volume:2

Enthalten in:

IJID regions - 2(2022) vom: 27. März, Seite 154-157

Sprache:

Englisch

Beteiligte Personen:

Akaba, Hiroki [VerfasserIn]
Jindai, Kazuaki [VerfasserIn]
Shobugawa, Yugo [VerfasserIn]
Oshitani, Hitoshi [VerfasserIn]

Links:

Volltext

Themen:

COVID-19
Cluster-based approach
Journal Article
Population density
Seasonal influenza

Anmerkungen:

Date Revised 16.07.2022

published: Print-Electronic

Citation Status PubMed-not-MEDLINE

doi:

10.1016/j.ijregi.2022.01.003

funding:

Förderinstitution / Projekttitel:

PPN (Katalog-ID):

NLM342427059