Prediction of Cerebral Palsy or Death among Preterm Infants Who Survive the Neonatal Period

Thieme. All rights reserved..

OBJECTIVE:  To assess whether neonatal morbidities evident by the time of hospital discharge are associated with subsequent cerebral palsy (CP) or death.

STUDY DESIGN:  This is a secondary analysis of data from a multicenter placebo-controlled trial of magnesium sulfate for the prevention of CP. The association between prespecified intermediate neonatal outcomes (n = 11) and demographic and clinical factors (n = 10) evident by the time of discharge among surviving infants (n = 1889) and the primary outcome of death or moderate/severe CP at age 2 (n = 73) was estimated, and a prediction model was created.

RESULTS:  Gestational age in weeks at delivery (odds ratio [OR]: 0.74, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.67-0.83), grade III or IV intraventricular hemorrhage (IVH) (OR: 5.3, CI: 2.1-13.1), periventricular leukomalacia (PVL) (OR: 46.4, CI: 20.6-104.6), and male gender (OR: 2.5, CI: 1.4-4.5) were associated with death or moderate/severe CP by age 2. Outcomes not significantly associated with the primary outcome included respiratory distress syndrome, bronchopulmonary dysplasia, seizure, necrotizing enterocolitis, neonatal hypotension, 5-minute Apgar score, sepsis, and retinopathy of prematurity. Using all patients, the receiver operating characteristic curve for the final prediction model had an area under the curve of 0.84 (CI: 0.78-0.89). Using these data, the risk of death or developing CP by age 2 can be calculated for individual surviving infants.

CONCLUSION:  IVH and PVL were the only neonatal complications evident at discharge that contributed to an individual infant's risk of the long-term outcomes of death or CP by age 2. A model that includes these morbidities, gestational age at delivery, and gender is predictive of subsequent neurologic sequelae.

KEY POINTS: · Factors known at hospital discharge are identified which are independently associated with death or CP by age 2.. · A model was created and validated using these findings to counsel parents.. · The risk of death or CP can be calculated at the time of hospital discharge.

Medienart:

E-Artikel

Erscheinungsjahr:

2024

Erschienen:

2024

Enthalten in:

Zur Gesamtaufnahme - volume:41

Enthalten in:

American journal of perinatology - 41(2024), 6 vom: 24. Apr., Seite 783-789

Sprache:

Englisch

Beteiligte Personen:

Peaceman, Alan M [VerfasserIn]
Mele, Lisa [VerfasserIn]
Rouse, Dwight J [VerfasserIn]
Leveno, Kenneth J [VerfasserIn]
Mercer, Brian M [VerfasserIn]
Varner, Michael W [VerfasserIn]
Reddy, Uma M [VerfasserIn]
Wapner, Ronald J [VerfasserIn]
Sorokin, Yoram [VerfasserIn]
Thorp, John M [VerfasserIn]
Ramin, Susan M [VerfasserIn]
Malone, Fergal D [VerfasserIn]
O'Sullivan, Mary J [VerfasserIn]
Dudley, Donald J [VerfasserIn]
Caritis, Steve N [VerfasserIn]
Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health Human Development Maternal-Fetal Medicine Units Network [VerfasserIn]

Links:

Volltext

Themen:

Controlled Clinical Trial
Journal Article
Multicenter Study

Anmerkungen:

Date Completed 12.04.2024

Date Revised 15.04.2024

published: Print-Electronic

Citation Status MEDLINE

doi:

10.1055/a-1788-6281

funding:

Förderinstitution / Projekttitel:

PPN (Katalog-ID):

NLM337841799