Saving lives during the COVID-19 pandemic : the benefits of the first Swiss lockdown
© The Author(s) 2021..
The implementation of a lockdown to control the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic has led to a strong economic and political debate in several countries. This makes it crucial to shed light on the actual benefits of such kind of policy. To this purpose, we focus on the Swiss lockdown during the first wave of COVID-19 infections and estimate the number of potentially saved lives. To predict the number of deaths in the absence of any restrictive measure, we develop a novel age-structured SIRDC model which accounts for age-specific endogenous behavioral responses and for seasonal patterns in the spread of the virus. Including the additional fatalities which would have materialized because of the shortage of healthcare resources, our estimates suggest that the lockdown prevented more than 11,200 deaths between March and the beginning of September 2020.
Medienart: |
E-Artikel |
---|
Erscheinungsjahr: |
2021 |
---|---|
Erschienen: |
2021 |
Enthalten in: |
Zur Gesamtaufnahme - volume:157 |
---|---|
Enthalten in: |
Swiss journal of economics and statistics - 157(2021), 1 vom: 16., Seite 4 |
Sprache: |
Englisch |
---|
Beteiligte Personen: |
Gatti, Nicolò [VerfasserIn] |
---|
Links: |
---|
Themen: |
Behavioral responses |
---|
Anmerkungen: |
Date Revised 03.04.2024 published: Print-Electronic Citation Status PubMed-not-MEDLINE |
---|
doi: |
10.1186/s41937-021-00072-2 |
---|
funding: |
|
---|---|
Förderinstitution / Projekttitel: |
|
PPN (Katalog-ID): |
NLM329450263 |
---|
LEADER | 01000caa a22002652 4500 | ||
---|---|---|---|
001 | NLM329450263 | ||
003 | DE-627 | ||
005 | 20240403232847.0 | ||
007 | cr uuu---uuuuu | ||
008 | 231225s2021 xx |||||o 00| ||eng c | ||
024 | 7 | |a 10.1186/s41937-021-00072-2 |2 doi | |
028 | 5 | 2 | |a pubmed24n1362.xml |
035 | |a (DE-627)NLM329450263 | ||
035 | |a (NLM)34401401 | ||
040 | |a DE-627 |b ger |c DE-627 |e rakwb | ||
041 | |a eng | ||
100 | 1 | |a Gatti, Nicolò |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
245 | 1 | 0 | |a Saving lives during the COVID-19 pandemic |b the benefits of the first Swiss lockdown |
264 | 1 | |c 2021 | |
336 | |a Text |b txt |2 rdacontent | ||
337 | |a ƒaComputermedien |b c |2 rdamedia | ||
338 | |a ƒa Online-Ressource |b cr |2 rdacarrier | ||
500 | |a Date Revised 03.04.2024 | ||
500 | |a published: Print-Electronic | ||
500 | |a Citation Status PubMed-not-MEDLINE | ||
520 | |a © The Author(s) 2021. | ||
520 | |a The implementation of a lockdown to control the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic has led to a strong economic and political debate in several countries. This makes it crucial to shed light on the actual benefits of such kind of policy. To this purpose, we focus on the Swiss lockdown during the first wave of COVID-19 infections and estimate the number of potentially saved lives. To predict the number of deaths in the absence of any restrictive measure, we develop a novel age-structured SIRDC model which accounts for age-specific endogenous behavioral responses and for seasonal patterns in the spread of the virus. Including the additional fatalities which would have materialized because of the shortage of healthcare resources, our estimates suggest that the lockdown prevented more than 11,200 deaths between March and the beginning of September 2020 | ||
650 | 4 | |a Journal Article | |
650 | 4 | |a Behavioral responses | |
650 | 4 | |a COVID-19 | |
650 | 4 | |a Lockdown | |
650 | 4 | |a SIR model | |
650 | 4 | |a SIRDC model | |
650 | 4 | |a Saved lives | |
700 | 1 | |a Retali, Beatrice |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
773 | 0 | 8 | |i Enthalten in |t Swiss journal of economics and statistics |d 2018 |g 157(2021), 1 vom: 16., Seite 4 |w (DE-627)NLM290756421 |x 2235-6282 |7 nnns |
773 | 1 | 8 | |g volume:157 |g year:2021 |g number:1 |g day:16 |g pages:4 |
856 | 4 | 0 | |u http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s41937-021-00072-2 |3 Volltext |
912 | |a GBV_USEFLAG_A | ||
912 | |a GBV_NLM | ||
951 | |a AR | ||
952 | |d 157 |j 2021 |e 1 |b 16 |h 4 |