COVID-19 Down Under : Australia's Initial Pandemic Experience

The following case study aims to provide a broad overview of the initial Australian epidemiological situation of the novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic. We provide a case presentation of Australia's current demographic characteristics and an overview of their health care system. The data we present on Australia's COVID-19 situation pertain to the initial wave of the pandemic from January through to 20 April 2020. The results of our study indicate the number of reported COVID-19 cases in Australia reduced, and Australia initially managed to successfully flatten the curve-from an initial doubling time of 3.4 days at the end of March 2020 to a doubling time of 112 days as of 20 April 2020. Using SEIR mathematical modelling, we investigate a scenario assuming infections increase once mitigation measures are lifted. In this case, Australia could experience over 15,000 confirmed cases by the end of April 2020. How Australia's government, health authorities and citizens adjust to preventative measures to reduce the risk of transmission as well as the risk of overburdening Australia's health care system is crucial. Our study presents the initial non-pharmaceutical intervention measures undertaken by the Australian health authorities in efforts to mitigate the rate of infection, and their observed and predicted outcomes. Finally, we conclude our study by presenting the observed and expected economic, social, and political disruptions Australians may endure as a result of the initial phase of the pandemic.

Medienart:

E-Artikel

Erscheinungsjahr:

2020

Erschienen:

2020

Enthalten in:

Zur Gesamtaufnahme - volume:17

Enthalten in:

International journal of environmental research and public health - 17(2020), 23 vom: 01. Dez.

Sprache:

Englisch

Beteiligte Personen:

Cook, Matthew James [VerfasserIn]
Dri, Gabriela Guizzo [VerfasserIn]
Logan, Prishanee [VerfasserIn]
Tan, Jia Bin [VerfasserIn]
Flahault, Antoine [VerfasserIn]

Links:

Volltext

Themen:

Acute respiratory disease
Australia
COVID-19
Case study
Country economy
Epidemiology
Exit strategies
Journal Article
Mathematical modelling
Media coverage
Non pharmaceutical intervention
Novel coronavirus
Social political disruption

Anmerkungen:

Date Completed 08.12.2020

Date Revised 30.03.2024

published: Electronic

Citation Status MEDLINE

doi:

10.3390/ijerph17238939

funding:

Förderinstitution / Projekttitel:

PPN (Katalog-ID):

NLM318380072