Whence the next pandemic? The intersecting global geography of the animal-human interface, poor health systems and air transit centrality reveals conduits for high-impact spillover
© 2020 The Authors..
The health and economic impacts of infectious disease pandemics are catastrophic as most recently manifested by coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). The emerging infections that lead to substantive epidemics or pandemics are typically zoonoses that cross species boundaries at vulnerable points of animal-human interface. The sharing of space between wildlife and humans, and their domesticated animals, has dramatically increased in recent decades and is a key driver of pathogen spillover. Increasing animal-human interface has also occurred in concert with both increasing globalisation and failing health systems, resulting in a trifecta with dire implications for human and animal health. Nevertheless, to date we lack a geographical description of this trifecta that can be applied strategically to pandemic prevention. This investigation provides the first geographical quantification of the intersection of animal-human interfaces, poor human health system performance and global connectivity via the network of air travel. In so doing, this work provides a systematic, data-driven approach to classifying spillover hazard based on the distribution of animal-human interfaces while simultaneously identifying globally connected cities that are adjacent to these interfaces and which may facilitate global pathogen dissemination. We present this geography of high-impact spillover as a tool for developing targeted surveillance systems and improved health infrastructure in vulnerable areas that may present conduits for future pandemics.
| Medienart: |
E-Artikel |
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| Erscheinungsjahr: |
2020 |
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| Erschienen: |
2020 |
| Enthalten in: |
Zur Gesamtaufnahme - volume:11 |
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| Enthalten in: |
One health (Amsterdam, Netherlands) - 11(2020) vom: 20. Dez., Seite 100177 |
| Sprache: |
Englisch |
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| Beteiligte Personen: |
Walsh, Michael G [VerfasserIn] |
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| Links: |
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| Themen: |
Anthropogenic pressure |
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| Anmerkungen: |
Date Revised 30.03.2024 published: Print-Electronic figshare: 10.6084/m9.figshare.12661184 Citation Status PubMed-not-MEDLINE |
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| doi: |
10.1016/j.onehlt.2020.100177 |
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| funding: |
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| Förderinstitution / Projekttitel: |
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| PPN (Katalog-ID): |
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| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a Whence the next pandemic? The intersecting global geography of the animal-human interface, poor health systems and air transit centrality reveals conduits for high-impact spillover |
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| 500 | |a published: Print-Electronic | ||
| 500 | |a figshare: 10.6084/m9.figshare.12661184 | ||
| 500 | |a Citation Status PubMed-not-MEDLINE | ||
| 520 | |a © 2020 The Authors. | ||
| 520 | |a The health and economic impacts of infectious disease pandemics are catastrophic as most recently manifested by coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). The emerging infections that lead to substantive epidemics or pandemics are typically zoonoses that cross species boundaries at vulnerable points of animal-human interface. The sharing of space between wildlife and humans, and their domesticated animals, has dramatically increased in recent decades and is a key driver of pathogen spillover. Increasing animal-human interface has also occurred in concert with both increasing globalisation and failing health systems, resulting in a trifecta with dire implications for human and animal health. Nevertheless, to date we lack a geographical description of this trifecta that can be applied strategically to pandemic prevention. This investigation provides the first geographical quantification of the intersection of animal-human interfaces, poor human health system performance and global connectivity via the network of air travel. In so doing, this work provides a systematic, data-driven approach to classifying spillover hazard based on the distribution of animal-human interfaces while simultaneously identifying globally connected cities that are adjacent to these interfaces and which may facilitate global pathogen dissemination. We present this geography of high-impact spillover as a tool for developing targeted surveillance systems and improved health infrastructure in vulnerable areas that may present conduits for future pandemics | ||
| 650 | 4 | |a Journal Article | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Anthropogenic pressure | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Network analysis | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Pandemics | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Spillover | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Wildlife-human interface | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Zoonoses | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Sawleshwarkar, Shailendra |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Hossain, Shah |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Mor, Siobhan M |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
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