The Value of a New Diagnostic Test for Prostate Cancer : A Cost-Utility Analysis in Early Stage of Development

BACKGROUND: Standard biopsy for prostate cancer diagnosis is an unpleasant and sometimes painful procedure with a detection rate as low as around 50%. Consequently, an accurate blood-based test would be highly desirable to improve the predictive accuracy. However, the clinical value of a new blood test for diagnosing prostate cancer depends on its sensitivity and specificity, in relation to the selected target population.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of this analysis was to investigate the health-economic value of introducing a new and more accurate diagnostic blood-based test to identify men in need of a biopsy to diagnose prostate cancer.

METHOD: We developed a Discrete Event Simulation Model with outputs including number of biopsies, cancer diagnosis, treatments and prostate cancer deaths. The analysis was performed from a health care perspective. It used epidemiologic data, treatment patterns, and health care costs from the Swedish region Skåne (population of 1.3 million). A 90% sensitivity and specificity of the new test was assumed.

RESULTS: Among 31,250 men, age 50-69 years, 16.4% had a PSA between 3.0 and 9.9 µg/L and 28.9% a PSA of 2.0-9.9 µg/L. Testing men with PSA 3.0-9.9 µg/L, as in current clinical practice, decreased the number of biopsies by 3595, detected 61 more cancers, resulting in and two more fatalities and subsequently a loss of 14 QALYs. Cost offsets could justify a test value of SEK 4996. Testing a larger population, PSA 2.0-9.9 µg/L prevented 6 deaths, added 50 QALYs, and could justify a value of the test of SEK 5165, given a value of health of SEK 500,000 per QALY.

CONCLUSION: A new blood-based test for prostate cancer has a significant potential to reduce the number of biopsies needed, resulting in reduced health care costs and improve patient care.

Medienart:

E-Artikel

Erscheinungsjahr:

2021

Erschienen:

2021

Enthalten in:

Zur Gesamtaufnahme - volume:5

Enthalten in:

PharmacoEconomics - open - 5(2021), 1 vom: 11. März, Seite 77-88

Sprache:

Englisch

Beteiligte Personen:

Fridhammar, Adam [VerfasserIn]
Axelsson, Ulrika [VerfasserIn]
Persson, Ulf [VerfasserIn]
Bjartell, Anders [VerfasserIn]
Borrebaeck, Carl A K [VerfasserIn]

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Journal Article

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Date Revised 06.03.2021

published: Print

Citation Status PubMed-not-MEDLINE

doi:

10.1007/s41669-020-00226-7

funding:

Förderinstitution / Projekttitel:

PPN (Katalog-ID):

NLM313551049