Optimal temperature zone for the dispersal of COVID-19

Copyright © 2020 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved..

It is essential to know the environmental parameters within which the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) can survive to understand its global dispersal pattern. We found that 60.0% of the confirmed cases of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) occurred in places where the air temperature ranged from 5 °C to 15 °C, with a peak in cases at 11.54 °C. Moreover, approximately 73.8% of the confirmed cases were concentrated in regions with absolute humidity of 3 g/m3 to 10 g/m3. SARS-CoV-2 appears to be spreading toward higher latitudes. Our findings suggest that there is an optimal climatic zone in which the concentration of SARS-CoV-2 markedly increases in the ambient environment (including the surfaces of objects). These results strongly imply that the COVID-19 pandemic may spread cyclically and outbreaks may recur in large cities in the mid-latitudes in autumn 2020.

Medienart:

E-Artikel

Erscheinungsjahr:

2020

Erschienen:

2020

Enthalten in:

Zur Gesamtaufnahme - volume:736

Enthalten in:

The Science of the total environment - 736(2020) vom: 20. Sept., Seite 139487

Sprache:

Englisch

Beteiligte Personen:

Huang, Zhongwei [VerfasserIn]
Huang, Jianping [VerfasserIn]
Gu, Qianqing [VerfasserIn]
Du, Pengyue [VerfasserIn]
Liang, Hongbin [VerfasserIn]
Dong, Qing [VerfasserIn]

Links:

Volltext

Themen:

COVID-19
Dispersal
Journal Article
Pandemic
SARS-CoV-2
Temperature

Anmerkungen:

Date Completed 24.06.2020

Date Revised 28.03.2024

published: Print-Electronic

Citation Status MEDLINE

doi:

10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.139487

funding:

Förderinstitution / Projekttitel:

PPN (Katalog-ID):

NLM31060365X