Spatial epidemic dynamics of the COVID-19 outbreak in China

Copyright © 2020 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd.. All rights reserved..

BACKGROUND: On 31 December 2019 an outbreak of COVID-19 in Wuhan, China, was reported. The outbreak spread rapidly to other Chinese cities and multiple countries. This study described the spatio-temporal pattern and measured the spatial association of the early stages of the COVID-19 epidemic in mainland China from 16 January-06 February 2020.

METHODS: This study explored the spatial epidemic dynamics of COVID-19 in mainland China. Moran's I spatial statistic with various definitions of neighbours was used to conduct a test to determine whether a spatial association of the COVID-19 infections existed.

RESULTS: The spatial spread of the COVID-19 pandemic in China was observed. The results showed that most of the models, except medical-care-based connection models, indicated a significant spatial association of COVID-19 infections from around 22 January 2020.

CONCLUSIONS: Spatial analysis is of great help in understanding the spread of infectious diseases, and spatial association was the key to the spatial spread during the early stages of the COVID-19 pandemic in mainland China.

Medienart:

E-Artikel

Erscheinungsjahr:

2020

Erschienen:

2020

Enthalten in:

Zur Gesamtaufnahme - volume:94

Enthalten in:

International journal of infectious diseases : IJID : official publication of the International Society for Infectious Diseases - 94(2020) vom: 10. Mai, Seite 96-102

Sprache:

Englisch

Beteiligte Personen:

Kang, Dayun [VerfasserIn]
Choi, Hyunho [VerfasserIn]
Kim, Jong-Hun [VerfasserIn]
Choi, Jungsoon [VerfasserIn]

Links:

Volltext

Themen:

COVID-19
China
Journal Article
Spatial analysis
Spatial autocorrelation

Anmerkungen:

Date Completed 20.05.2020

Date Revised 18.12.2020

published: Print-Electronic

Citation Status MEDLINE

doi:

10.1016/j.ijid.2020.03.076

funding:

Förderinstitution / Projekttitel:

PPN (Katalog-ID):

NLM30837133X