Optimization of risk stratification for anticoagulation-associated intracerebral hemorrhage : net risk estimation

BACKGROUND: Every anticoagulation decision has in inherent risk of hemorrhage; intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) is the most devastating hemorrhagic complication. We examined whether combining ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke risk in individual patients might provide a meaningful paradigm for risk stratification.

METHODS: We enrolled consecutive patients with anticoagulation-associated ICH in 15 tertiary centers in the USA, Europe and Asia between 2015 and 2017. Each patient was assigned baseline ischemic stroke and hemorrhage risk based on their CHA2DS2-VASc and HAS-BLED scores. We computed a net risk by subtracting hemorrhagic from ischemic risk. If the sum was positive the patient was assigned a "Favorable" indication for anticoagulation; if negative, "Unfavorable".

RESULTS: We enrolled 357 patients [59% men, median age 76 (68-82) years]. 31% used non-vitamin K antagonist (NOAC). 191 (53.5%) patients had a favorable indication for anticoagulation prior to their ICH; 166 (46.5%) unfavorable. Those with unfavorable indication were younger [72 (66-80) vs 78 (73-84) years, p = 0.001], with lower CHA2DS2-VASc score [3(3-4) vs 5(4-6), p < 0.001]. Those with favorable indication had a significantly higher prevalence of most cardiovascular risk factors and were more likely to use a NOAC (35% vs 25%, p = 0.045). Both groups had similar prevalence of hypertension and chronic kidney disease.

CONCLUSIONS: In this anticoagulation-associated ICH cohort, baseline hemorrhagic risk exceeded ischemic risk in approximately 50%, highlighting the importance of careful consideration of risk/benefit ratio prior to anticoagulation decisions. The remaining 50% suffered an ICH despite excess baseline ischemic risk, stressing the need for biomarkers to allow more precise estimation of hemorrhagic complication risk.

Medienart:

E-Artikel

Erscheinungsjahr:

2020

Erschienen:

2020

Enthalten in:

Zur Gesamtaufnahme - volume:267

Enthalten in:

Journal of neurology - 267(2020), 4 vom: 17. Apr., Seite 1053-1062

Sprache:

Englisch

Beteiligte Personen:

Lioutas, Vasileios-Arsenios [VerfasserIn]
Goyal, Nitin [VerfasserIn]
Katsanos, Aristeidis H [VerfasserIn]
Krogias, Christos [VerfasserIn]
Zand, Ramin [VerfasserIn]
Sharma, Vijay K [VerfasserIn]
Varelas, Panayiotis [VerfasserIn]
Malhotra, Konark [VerfasserIn]
Paciaroni, Maurizio [VerfasserIn]
Karapanayiotides, Theodore [VerfasserIn]
Sharaf, Aboubakar [VerfasserIn]
Chang, Jason [VerfasserIn]
Kargiotis, Odysseas [VerfasserIn]
Pandhi, Abhi [VerfasserIn]
Palaiodimou, Lina [VerfasserIn]
Schroeder, Christoph [VerfasserIn]
Tsantes, Argyrios [VerfasserIn]
Boviatsis, Efstathios [VerfasserIn]
Mehta, Chandan [VerfasserIn]
Serdari, Aspasia [VerfasserIn]
Vadikolias, Konstantinos [VerfasserIn]
Mitsias, Panayiotis D [VerfasserIn]
Selim, Magdy H [VerfasserIn]
Alexandrov, Andrei V [VerfasserIn]
Tsivgoulis, Georgios [VerfasserIn]

Links:

Volltext

Themen:

Anticoagulants
Atrial fibrillation
Intracerebral hemorrhage
Journal Article
Risk assessment

Anmerkungen:

Date Completed 01.01.2021

Date Revised 10.01.2021

published: Print-Electronic

Citation Status MEDLINE

doi:

10.1007/s00415-019-09678-2

funding:

Förderinstitution / Projekttitel:

PPN (Katalog-ID):

NLM304495484