Novel nomogram with microvascular density in the surgical margins can accurately predict the risk for anastomotic leakage after anterior resection for rectal cancer

© 2019 Wiley Periodicals, Inc..

BACKGROUND: Anastomotic leakage (AL) is a serious complication after anterior resection. The purpose of this study was to determine the role of microvascular density (MVD) in AL and to develop a nomogram to accurately predict AL.

METHODS: This study retrospectively enrolled 477 consecutive patients who underwent anterior resection for rectal cancer from January 2011 to January 2019. Tissue samples of the resection margins were assessed for MVD. Univariate and multivariate regression analyses were used to identify the risk factors for AL.

RESULTS: The incidence of clinical AL was 6.7%. MVD in the distal margin was associated with AL (P < .001). Univariate and multivariate regression analysis identified the following variables as independent risk factors for AL: preoperative albumin ≤35 g/L (odds ratio [OR] = 2.511), neoadjuvant treatment (OR = 3.560), location of tumor ≤7 cm (OR = 3.381), blood loss ≥100 mL (OR = 2.717), and MVD in the distal margin ≤20 (OR = 4.265). Then, a nomogram including these predictors was developed. The nomogram showed good discrimination (AUC = 0.816) and calibration (concordance index = 0.816). The decision curve analysis demonstrated that the nomogram was clinically useful.

CONCLUSIONS: MVD in the distal margin is closely associated with AL. The nomogram can be used for individualized prediction of AL after anterior resection for patients with rectal cancer.

Medienart:

E-Artikel

Erscheinungsjahr:

2019

Erschienen:

2019

Enthalten in:

Zur Gesamtaufnahme - volume:120

Enthalten in:

Journal of surgical oncology - 120(2019), 8 vom: 16. Dez., Seite 1412-1419

Sprache:

Englisch

Beteiligte Personen:

Xiao, Chanchan [VerfasserIn]
Zhou, Meihua [VerfasserIn]
Yang, Xihua [VerfasserIn]
Xiao, Fangtao [VerfasserIn]
Liu, Xiaofei [VerfasserIn]
Guo, Yi [VerfasserIn]
Li, Xiaojie [VerfasserIn]
Cao, Huiqiu [VerfasserIn]
Luo, Jihui [VerfasserIn]

Links:

Volltext

Themen:

Anastomotic leakage
Journal Article
Microvascular density
Nomogram
Rectal cancer
Serum Albumin
Surgical margin

Anmerkungen:

Date Completed 02.12.2019

Date Revised 08.01.2020

published: Print-Electronic

Citation Status MEDLINE

doi:

10.1002/jso.25730

funding:

Förderinstitution / Projekttitel:

PPN (Katalog-ID):

NLM30227488X