A predictive nomogram for individualized recurrence stratification of bladder cancer using multiparametric MRI and clinical risk factors

© 2019 International Society for Magnetic Resonance in Medicine..

BACKGROUND: Preoperative prediction of bladder cancer (BCa) recurrence risk is critical for individualized clinical management of BCa patients.

PURPOSE: To develop and validate a nomogram based on radiomics and clinical predictors for personalized prediction of the first 2 years (TFTY) recurrence risk.

STUDY TYPE: Retrospective.

POPULATION: Preoperative MRI datasets of 71 BCa patients (34 recurrent) were collected, and divided into training (n = 50) and validation cohorts (n = 21).

FIELD STRENGTH/SEQUENCE: 3.0T MRI/T2 -weighted (T2 W), multi-b-value diffusion-weighted (DW), and dynamic contrast-enhanced (DCE) sequences.

ASSESSMENT: Radiomics features were extracted from the T2 W, DW, apparent diffusion coefficient, and DCE images. A Rad_Score model was constructed using the support vector machine-based recursive feature elimination approach and a logistic regression model. Combined with the important clinical factors, including age, gender, grade, and muscle-invasive status (MIS) of the archived lesion, tumor size and number, surgery, and image signs like stalk and submucosal linear enhancement, a radiomics-clinical nomogram was developed, and its performance was evaluated in the training and the validation cohorts. The potential clinical usefulness was analyzed by the decision curve.

STATISTICAL TESTS: Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to explore the independent predictors for BCa recurrence prediction.

RESULTS: Of the 1872 features, the 32 with the highest area under the curve (AUC) of receiver operating characteristic were selected for the Rad_Score calculation. The nomogram developed by two independent predictors, MIS and Rad_Score, showed good performance in the training (accuracy 88%, AUC 0.915, P << 0.01) and validation cohorts (accuracy 80.95%, AUC 0.838, P = 0.009). The decision curve exhibited when the risk threshold was larger than 0.3, more benefit was observed by using the radiomics-clinical nomogram than using the radiomics or clinical model alone.

DATA CONCLUSION: The proposed radiomics-clinical nomogram has potential in the preoperative prediction of TFTY BCa recurrence.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: 3 Technical Efficacy: Stage 3 J. Magn. Reson. Imaging 2019;50:1893-1904.

Medienart:

E-Artikel

Erscheinungsjahr:

2019

Erschienen:

2019

Enthalten in:

Zur Gesamtaufnahme - volume:50

Enthalten in:

Journal of magnetic resonance imaging : JMRI - 50(2019), 6 vom: 01. Dez., Seite 1893-1904

Sprache:

Englisch

Beteiligte Personen:

Xu, Xiaopan [VerfasserIn]
Wang, Huanjun [VerfasserIn]
Du, Peng [VerfasserIn]
Zhang, Fan [VerfasserIn]
Li, Shurong [VerfasserIn]
Zhang, Zhongwei [VerfasserIn]
Yuan, Jing [VerfasserIn]
Liang, Zhengrong [VerfasserIn]
Zhang, Xi [VerfasserIn]
Guo, Yan [VerfasserIn]
Liu, Yang [VerfasserIn]
Lu, Hongbing [VerfasserIn]

Links:

Volltext

Themen:

Bladder cancer
Journal Article
Multiparametric MRI
Nomogram
Recurrence prediction
Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural
Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
SVM-RFE

Anmerkungen:

Date Completed 29.10.2020

Date Revised 01.12.2020

published: Print-Electronic

Citation Status MEDLINE

doi:

10.1002/jmri.26749

funding:

Förderinstitution / Projekttitel:

PPN (Katalog-ID):

NLM296016152