Tracing the Impact of Public Health Interventions on HIV-1 Transmission in Portugal Using Molecular Epidemiology

© The Author(s) 2019. Published by Oxford University Press for the Infectious Diseases Society of America..

BACKGROUND: Estimation of temporal changes in human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) transmission patterns can help to elucidate the impact of preventive strategies and public health policies.

METHODS: Portuguese HIV-1 subtype B and G pol genetic sequences were appended to global reference data sets to identify country-specific transmission clades. Bayesian birth-death models were used to estimate subtype-specific effective reproductive numbers (Re). Discrete trait analysis (DTA) was used to quantify mixing among transmission groups.

RESULTS: We identified 5 subtype B Portuguese clades (26-79 sequences) and a large monophyletic subtype G Portuguese clade (236 sequences). We estimated that major shifts in HIV-1 transmission occurred around 1999 (95% Bayesian credible interval [BCI], 1998-2000) and 2000 (95% BCI, 1998-2001) for subtypes B and G, respectively. For subtype B, Re dropped from 1.91 (95% BCI, 1.73-2.09) to 0.62 (95% BCI,.52-.72). For subtype G, Re decreased from 1.49 (95% BCI, 1.39-1.59) to 0.72 (95% BCI, .63-.8). The DTA suggests that people who inject drugs (PWID) and heterosexuals were the source of most (>80%) virus lineage transitions for subtypes G and B, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS: The estimated declines in Re coincide with the introduction of highly active antiretroviral therapy and the scale-up of harm reduction for PWID. Inferred transmission events across transmission groups emphasize the importance of prevention efforts for bridging populations.

Medienart:

E-Artikel

Erscheinungsjahr:

2019

Erschienen:

2019

Enthalten in:

Zur Gesamtaufnahme - volume:220

Enthalten in:

The Journal of infectious diseases - 220(2019), 2 vom: 19. Juni, Seite 233-243

Sprache:

Englisch

Beteiligte Personen:

Vasylyeva, Tetyana I [VerfasserIn]
du Plessis, Louis [VerfasserIn]
Pineda-Peña, Andrea C [VerfasserIn]
Kühnert, Denise [VerfasserIn]
Lemey, Philippe [VerfasserIn]
Vandamme, Anne-Mieke [VerfasserIn]
Gomes, Perpétua [VerfasserIn]
Camacho, Ricardo J [VerfasserIn]
Pybus, Oliver G [VerfasserIn]
Abecasis, Ana B [VerfasserIn]
Faria, Nuno R [VerfasserIn]

Links:

Volltext

Themen:

Epidemiology
HIV
Harm reduction
Journal Article
Phylodynamics
Pol Gene Products, Human Immunodeficiency Virus
Portugal
Reproductive number
Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
Transmission groups

Anmerkungen:

Date Completed 24.02.2020

Date Revised 20.06.2021

published: Print

Citation Status MEDLINE

doi:

10.1093/infdis/jiz085

funding:

Förderinstitution / Projekttitel:

PPN (Katalog-ID):

NLM294304010