Modeling the burden of cardiovascular disease in Turkey

OBJECTIVE: This study aims to estimate the current and future burden of cardiovascular diseases (CVD) in Turkey.

METHODS: A burden-of-disease model was developed that included inputs on population growth, prevalence, and incidence of ischemic disease (IHD) and cerebrovascular disease (CeVD), prevalence of modifiable risk factors, mortality rates, and relationship between risk factors and IHD/CeVD. Direct costs to the public health-care system and indirect costs from lost production due to premature mortality, hospitalizations, disability, and absenteeism were considered.

RESULTS: We estimated that in 2016, 3.4 million Turkish adults were living with CVD, including 2.5 million affected by IHD, and 0.9 million by CeVD. This prevalence is projected to increase to 5.4 million by 2035. The economic burden of CVD was estimated at US$10.2 billion in 2016, projected to increase twofold to US$19.4 billion by 2035.

CONCLUSION: Our study confirms that the current burden of CVD is significant, and that it is projected to increase at a steep rate over the next two decades. This growing burden of disease will likely create significant pressure on the public health-care system in the form of direct health-care costs, as well as on society in the form of lost productivity.

Medienart:

E-Artikel

Erscheinungsjahr:

2018

Erschienen:

2018

Enthalten in:

Zur Gesamtaufnahme - volume:20

Enthalten in:

Anatolian journal of cardiology - 20(2018), 4 vom: 01. Okt., Seite 235-240

Sprache:

Englisch

Beteiligte Personen:

Balbay, Yücel [VerfasserIn]
Gagnon-Arpin, Isabelle [VerfasserIn]
Malhan, Simten [VerfasserIn]
Öksüz, Mehmet Ergun [VerfasserIn]
Sutherland, Greg [VerfasserIn]
Dobrescu, Alexandru [VerfasserIn]
Villa, Guillermo [VerfasserIn]
Ertuğrul, Gülnihal [VerfasserIn]
Habib, Mohdhar [VerfasserIn]

Links:

Volltext

Themen:

Journal Article

Anmerkungen:

Date Completed 28.05.2019

Date Revised 25.02.2020

published: Print

Citation Status MEDLINE

doi:

10.14744/AnatolJCardiol.2018.89106

funding:

Förderinstitution / Projekttitel:

PPN (Katalog-ID):

NLM289328969