Validation of the MB-LATER score for prediction of late recurrence after catheter-ablation of atrial fibrillation

Copyright © 2018. Published by Elsevier B.V..

BACKGROUND: Reliable identification of atrial fibrillation (AF) patients more likely to be AF-free long-term post-single catheter ablation (CA) would facilitate appropriate risk communication to patients. We validated the recently proposed MB-LATER score for prediction of late recurrences of AF (LRAF) post-CA.

METHODS: Patients who underwent CA for symptomatic AF refractory to ≥1 antiarrhythmic drugs at the Johns Hopkins Hospital, Baltimore, between March 2003 and December 2015, for whom ≥1-year post-CA follow-up data were available, were enrolled.

RESULTS: Of 226 patients (median age 58.5 years [IQR: 52.0-65.0], 163 males [72.1%], 142 [62.8%] with paroxysmal AF), LRAF occurred in 133 patients (58.8%) during a median 2-year follow-up (IQR: 1.1-4.1). The mean MB-LATER score was significantly higher in patients with versus those without LRAF (2.4 ± 1.2 vs. 1.9 ± 1.3, p = 0.002) and showed modest but significant predictive ability for LRAF (AUC: 0.62 [95% CI: 0.54-0.69], p = 0.003). A score cut-off value of >2 showed the best predictive ability for LRAF (70.4% [61.5-77.9]), with modest sensitivity (42.9% [34.3-51.7]) and specificity (74.2% [64.1-82.7]). Kaplan-Meyer survival free from AF was significantly better for patients with a MB-LATER score of ≤2 than for those with a score of >2 (log-rank p = 0.005).

CONCLUSION: In our study, the MB-LATER score showed a significant but modest predictive ability for LRAF post-AF ablation. Further prospective validation is needed to better define the potential role of the MB-LATER score in patient selection and treatment decision-making post-AF ablation.

Errataetall:

CommentIn: Int J Cardiol. 2019 Feb 1;276:154-155. - PMID 30514578

Medienart:

E-Artikel

Erscheinungsjahr:

2019

Erschienen:

2019

Enthalten in:

Zur Gesamtaufnahme - volume:276

Enthalten in:

International journal of cardiology - 276(2019) vom: 01. Feb., Seite 130-135

Sprache:

Englisch

Beteiligte Personen:

Potpara, Tatjana S [VerfasserIn]
Mujovic, Nebojsa [VerfasserIn]
Sivasambu, Bhradeev [VerfasserIn]
Shantsila, Alena [VerfasserIn]
Marinkovic, Milan [VerfasserIn]
Calkins, Hugh [VerfasserIn]
Spragg, David [VerfasserIn]
Lip, Gregory Y H [VerfasserIn]

Links:

Volltext

Themen:

AF recurrence post-ablation
Anti-Arrhythmia Agents
Catheter-ablation of AF
Journal Article
MB-LATER score
Observational Study
Risk assessment
Validation Study

Anmerkungen:

Date Completed 27.08.2019

Date Revised 10.12.2019

published: Print-Electronic

CommentIn: Int J Cardiol. 2019 Feb 1;276:154-155. - PMID 30514578

Citation Status MEDLINE

doi:

10.1016/j.ijcard.2018.08.018

funding:

Förderinstitution / Projekttitel:

PPN (Katalog-ID):

NLM287652610