Analysis of a model of gambiense sleeping sickness in humans and cattle

Human African Trypanosomiasis (HAT) and Nagana in cattle, commonly called sleeping sickness, is caused by trypanosome protozoa transmitted by bites of infected tsetse flies. We present a deterministic model for the transmission of HAT caused by Trypanosoma brucei gambiense between human hosts, cattle hosts and tsetse flies. The model takes into account the growth of the tsetse fly, from its larval stage to the adult stage. Disease in the tsetse fly population is modeled by three compartments, and both the human and cattle populations are modeled by four compartments incorporating the two stages of HAT. We provide a rigorous derivation of the basic reproduction number R0. For R0 < 1, the disease free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable, thus HAT dies out; whereas (assuming no return to susceptibility) for R0 >1, HAT persists. Elasticity indices for R0 with respect to different parameters are calculated with baseline parameter values appropriate for HAT in West Africa; indicating parameters that are important for control strategies to bring R0 below 1. Numerical simulations with R0 > 1 show values for the infected populations at the endemic equilibrium, and indicate that with certain parameter values, HAT could not persist in the human population in the absence of cattle.

Medienart:

E-Artikel

Erscheinungsjahr:

2016

Erschienen:

2016

Enthalten in:

Zur Gesamtaufnahme - volume:10

Enthalten in:

Journal of biological dynamics - 10(2016) vom: 13., Seite 347-65

Sprache:

Englisch

Beteiligte Personen:

Ndondo, A M [VerfasserIn]
Munganga, J M W [VerfasserIn]
Mwambakana, J N [VerfasserIn]
Saad-Roy, C M [VerfasserIn]
van den Driessche, P [VerfasserIn]
Walo, R O [VerfasserIn]

Links:

Volltext

Themen:

34D23
92D30
Elasticity
Global stability
Journal Article
Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
Sleeping sickness
Trypanosoma brucei gambiense
Vector-borne disease

Anmerkungen:

Date Completed 26.08.2016

Date Revised 14.06.2016

published: Print

Citation Status MEDLINE

doi:

10.1080/17513758.2016.1190873

funding:

Förderinstitution / Projekttitel:

PPN (Katalog-ID):

NLM26135129X