A prognostic model to predict survival in stage III colon cancer patients based on histological grade, preoperative carcinoembryonic antigen level and the neutrophil lymphocyte ratio
BACKGROUND: Stage III colon cancer patients demonstrate diverse clinical outcomes. The aim of this study was to develop a prognostic model in order to better predict their survival.
MATERIALS AND METHODS: From 2004 to 2010, 548 patients were retrospectively analyzed, among whom 328 were defined as the study group and the remaining 220 served as a validation group. Clinico-pathologic features, including age, gender, histological grade, T stage, number of positive lymph nodes, number of harvest lymph nodes, pretreatment carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) levels and pretreatment neutrophil lymphocyte ratio (NLR), were collected. Kaplan-Meier survival curves were used to detect prognostic factors and multivariate analysis was applied to identify independent examples on which to develop a prognostic model. Finally, the model was further validated with the validation group.
RESULTS: Histological grade (p=0.002), T stage (p=0.011), number of positive lymph nodes (p=0.003), number of harvested lymph nodes (p=0.020), CEA (p=0.005), and NLR (p<0.001) were found as prognostic factors while histological grade [RR(relative risk):0.632, 95%CI (Confidence interval) 0.405~0.985, p=0.043], CEA (RR:0.644, 95%CI:0.431~0.964, p=0.033) and NLR (RR:0.384, 95%CI:0.255~0.580, p<0.001) levels were independent. The prognostic model based on these three factors was able to classify patients into high risk, intermediate and low risk groups (p<0.001), both in study and validation groups.
CONCLUSIONS: Histological grade, pretreatment CEA and NLR levels are independent prognostic factors in stage III colon cancer patients. A prognostic model based on these factors merits attention in future clinical practice.
Medienart: |
E-Artikel |
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Erscheinungsjahr: |
2015 |
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Erschienen: |
2015 |
Enthalten in: |
Zur Gesamtaufnahme - volume:16 |
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Enthalten in: |
Asian Pacific journal of cancer prevention : APJCP - 16(2015), 2 vom: 15., Seite 747-51 |
Sprache: |
Englisch |
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Beteiligte Personen: |
Wuxiao, Zhi-Jun [VerfasserIn] |
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Themen: |
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Anmerkungen: |
Date Completed 14.12.2015 Date Revised 08.04.2022 published: Print Citation Status MEDLINE |
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Förderinstitution / Projekttitel: |
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PPN (Katalog-ID): |
NLM246264888 |
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100 | 1 | |a Wuxiao, Zhi-Jun |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
245 | 1 | 2 | |a A prognostic model to predict survival in stage III colon cancer patients based on histological grade, preoperative carcinoembryonic antigen level and the neutrophil lymphocyte ratio |
264 | 1 | |c 2015 | |
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500 | |a Date Completed 14.12.2015 | ||
500 | |a Date Revised 08.04.2022 | ||
500 | |a published: Print | ||
500 | |a Citation Status MEDLINE | ||
520 | |a BACKGROUND: Stage III colon cancer patients demonstrate diverse clinical outcomes. The aim of this study was to develop a prognostic model in order to better predict their survival | ||
520 | |a MATERIALS AND METHODS: From 2004 to 2010, 548 patients were retrospectively analyzed, among whom 328 were defined as the study group and the remaining 220 served as a validation group. Clinico-pathologic features, including age, gender, histological grade, T stage, number of positive lymph nodes, number of harvest lymph nodes, pretreatment carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) levels and pretreatment neutrophil lymphocyte ratio (NLR), were collected. Kaplan-Meier survival curves were used to detect prognostic factors and multivariate analysis was applied to identify independent examples on which to develop a prognostic model. Finally, the model was further validated with the validation group | ||
520 | |a RESULTS: Histological grade (p=0.002), T stage (p=0.011), number of positive lymph nodes (p=0.003), number of harvested lymph nodes (p=0.020), CEA (p=0.005), and NLR (p<0.001) were found as prognostic factors while histological grade [RR(relative risk):0.632, 95%CI (Confidence interval) 0.405~0.985, p=0.043], CEA (RR:0.644, 95%CI:0.431~0.964, p=0.033) and NLR (RR:0.384, 95%CI:0.255~0.580, p<0.001) levels were independent. The prognostic model based on these three factors was able to classify patients into high risk, intermediate and low risk groups (p<0.001), both in study and validation groups | ||
520 | |a CONCLUSIONS: Histological grade, pretreatment CEA and NLR levels are independent prognostic factors in stage III colon cancer patients. A prognostic model based on these factors merits attention in future clinical practice | ||
650 | 4 | |a Journal Article | |
650 | 7 | |a Biomarkers, Tumor |2 NLM | |
650 | 7 | |a Carcinoembryonic Antigen |2 NLM | |
700 | 1 | |a Zhou, Hai-Yan |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
700 | 1 | |a Wang, Ke-Feng |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
700 | 1 | |a Chen, Xiao-Qin |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
700 | 1 | |a Hao, Xin-Bao |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
700 | 1 | |a Lu, Yan-Da |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
700 | 1 | |a Xia, Zhong-Jun |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
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