Assessing mumps outbreak risk in highly vaccinated populations using spatial seroprevalence data

Mumps is a potentially severe viral infection. The incidence of mumps has declined dramatically in high-income countries since the introduction of mumps antigen-containing vaccines. However, recent large outbreaks of mumps in highly vaccinated populations suggest waning of vaccine-induced immunity and primary vaccine failure. In this paper we present a simple method for identifying geographic regions with high outbreak potential, demonstrated using 2006 mumps seroprevalence data from Belgium and Belgian vaccination coverage data. Predictions of the outbreak potential in terms of the effective reproduction number in future years signal an increased risk of new mumps outbreaks. Literature reviews on serological information for both primary vaccine failure and waning immunity provide essential information for our predictions. Tailor-made additional vaccination campaigns would be valuable for decreasing local pockets of susceptibility, thereby reducing the risk of future large-scale mumps outbreaks.

Medienart:

E-Artikel

Erscheinungsjahr:

2014

Erschienen:

2014

Enthalten in:

Zur Gesamtaufnahme - volume:179

Enthalten in:

American journal of epidemiology - 179(2014), 8 vom: 15. Apr., Seite 1006-17

Sprache:

Englisch

Beteiligte Personen:

Abrams, Steven [VerfasserIn]
Beutels, Philippe [VerfasserIn]
Hens, Niel [VerfasserIn]

Links:

Volltext

Themen:

Antibodies, Viral
Disease outbreaks
Effective reproduction number
Immunoglobulin G
Journal Article
Measles-Mumps-Rubella Vaccine
Mumps
Next-generation operator
Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
Serology
Social contact hypothesis
Vaccination coverage
Vaccines

Anmerkungen:

Date Completed 12.05.2014

Date Revised 20.08.2021

published: Print-Electronic

Citation Status MEDLINE

doi:

10.1093/aje/kwu014

funding:

Förderinstitution / Projekttitel:

PPN (Katalog-ID):

NLM235887072